The Pittsburgh Press (January 19, 1944)
Willkie runs close second in California and Nebraska tests
By George Gallup, Director, American Institute of Public Opinion
Surveys of Republican sentiment in Nebraska and California show Governor Thomas E. Dewey holding a slight lead over Wendell Willkie in popularity as a 1944 presidential candidate.
The political tides in Nebraska are important because it is one of the states which has open presidential primaries. The situation in California holds equal interest for political leaders because of talk of Governor Earl Warren as a possible vice-presidential candidate.
The California Governor has announced his intention of entering his state’s primaries as a presidential nominee.
In gathering the views of Republican voters in California and Nebraska, each voter was handed a list of candidates and asked to name his preferred choice.
Based on those who named a Republican, the results for Nebraska are given below. The figures are not a poll of Republican leader, but the rank and file of the whole party.
The survey procedure used gives proper representation to all shades of opinion within the Republican Party – the independent Republican, as well as the more rock-ribbed Republican.
NEBRASKA
|
|
| Dewey |
35% |
| Willkie |
29% |
| MacArthur |
16% |
| Stassen |
10% |
| Bricker |
9% |
| Warren |
1% |
| Johnston |
<1% |
The California survey shows the following results:
|
|
| Dewey |
32% |
| Willkie |
30% |
| Warren |
13% |
| MacArthur |
13% |
| Stassen |
6% |
| Bricker |
4% |
| Johnston |
2% |
Special Survey
Asked of Wisconsin Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?
|
|
| Dewey |
40% |
| Willkie |
20% |
| MacArthur |
15% |
| Stassen |
11% |
| Bricker |
8% |
| Eric Johnston |
6% |
January 31
Republican presidential candidates
Interviewing Date 1/20-25/44
Survey #310-K
Question #6a
Asked of Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?
|
|
| Dewey |
42% |
| Willkie |
23% |
| MacArthur |
18% |
| Bricker |
8% |
| Stassen |
6% |
| Others |
3% |
Be region
|
Dewey |
Willkie |
MacArthur |
Bricker |
Others |
| New England |
38% |
41% |
14% |
3% |
4% |
| Mid-Atlantic |
54% |
21% |
16% |
4% |
5% |
| East Central |
35% |
15% |
17% |
21% |
12% |
| West Central |
40% |
23% |
19% |
3% |
15% |
| South |
30% |
36% |
24% |
6% |
4% |
| Mountain |
37% |
26% |
21% |
7% |
9% |
| West |
35% |
27% |
12% |
4% |
22% |
February 2
Republican presidential candidates
Special Survey
Asked of Missouri Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?
|
|
| Dewey |
41% |
| MacArthur |
27% |
| Willkie |
24% |
| Stassen |
3% |
| Bricker |
3% |
| Others |
2% |
February 4
Republican presidential candidates
Special Survey
Asked of Michigan Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?
|
|
| Dewey |
47% |
| Willkie |
19% |
| MacArthur |
16% |
| Bricker |
8% |
| Stassen |
7% |
| Others |
3% |
Special Survey
Asked of Minnesota Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?
|
|
| Stassen |
31% |
| Willkie |
28% |
| Dewey |
25% |
| MacArthur |
12% |
| Bricker |
3% |
| Warren |
1% |
1 Like
Interviewing Date 1/20-25/44
Survey #310-K
Question #5
Which party would you like to see win the presidential election this November?
Labor union members only
|
|
| Democratic |
64% |
| Republican |
36% |
CIO members only
|
|
| Democratic |
66% |
| Republican |
34% |
Special Survey
Asked of New Jersey Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?
|
|
| Dewey |
55% |
| Willkie |
21% |
| MacArthur |
16% |
| Stassen |
4% |
| Bricker |
3% |
| Others |
1% |
Special Survey
Asked of Pennsylvania Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?
|
|
| Dewey |
51% |
| Willkie |
22% |
| MacArthur |
18% |
| Stassen |
4% |
| Bricker |
3% |
| Warren |
1% |
| Eric Johnston |
1% |
Interviewing Date 2/3-8/44
Survey #311-K
Question #6
Which party do you want to see win the presidential election next fall – the Republican or Democratic?
|
|
| Democratic |
51% |
| Republican |
49% |
By region
|
Democratic |
Republican |
| New England |
52% |
48% |
| Mid-Atlantic |
53% |
47% |
| East Central |
45% |
55% |
| West Central |
42% |
58% |
| South |
71% |
29% |
| Mountain |
48% |
52% |
| Pacific |
49% |
51% |
February 23
Republican presidential candidates
Special Survey
Asked of New York State Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?
|
|
| Dewey |
57% |
| Willkie |
20% |
| MacArthur |
16% |
| Bricker |
4% |
| Stassen |
2% |
| Eric Johnston |
1% |
Interviewing Date 11/11-16/43
Survey #306-K
Question #2a
Regardless of what party you yourself favor, which party do you think will win the presidential election?
|
Democratic |
Republican |
No opinion |
| Democratic |
65% |
17% |
18% |
| Republican |
31% |
49% |
20% |
Interviewing Date 2/18-23/44
Survey #312-K
Question #4a
Asked of Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?
|
|
| Dewey |
45% |
| Willkie |
21% |
| MacArthur |
19% |
| Bricker |
7% |
| Stassen |
5% |
| Others |
3% |
February 29
Republican presidential candidates
Special Survey
Asked of Iowa Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?
|
|
| Dewey |
40% |
| Willkie |
25% |
| MacArthur |
19% |
| Stassen |
13% |
| Bricker |
2% |
| Others |
1% |
Special Survey
Asked of Ohio Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?
|
|
| Bricker |
41% |
| Dewey |
25% |
| MacArthur |
18% |
| Willkie |
11% |
| Stassen |
3% |
| Eric Johnston |
2% |
March 6
Democratic vice-presidential candidates
Interviewing Date 2/18-23/44
Survey #312-K
Question #4a
Asked of Democrats: Whom would you like to see the Democratic Party nominee for Vice President this year?
|
|
| Wallace |
46% |
| Hull |
21% |
| Farley |
13% |
| Rayburn |
12% |
| Byrnes |
5% |
| Byrd |
3% |
By region
|
Wallace |
Hull |
Farley |
Rayburn |
Byrnes |
Byrd |
| East |
47% |
22% |
14% |
9% |
5% |
3% |
| Midwest |
46% |
20% |
12% |
14% |
5% |
3% |
| South |
42% |
20% |
15% |
14% |
6% |
3% |
| West |
47% |
21% |
13% |
11% |
5% |
3% |
Special Survey
Asked of Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?
Connecticut only
|
|
| Dewey |
50% |
| Willkie |
26% |
| MacArthur |
17% |
| Bricker |
4% |
| Stassen |
3% |
West Virginia
|
|
| Dewey |
48% |
| MacArthur |
23% |
| Willkie |
15% |
| Bricker |
13% |
| Stassen |
1% |
Special Survey
Asked of Kansas Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?
|
|
| Dewey |
58% |
| MacArthur |
20% |
| Willkie |
11% |
| Bricker |
6% |
| Stassen |
5% |
1 Like
Interviewing Date 1/20-25/44
Survey #310-K
Question #6b
Asked of Republicans: If your choice of Republican candidates for President were limited to Wendell Willkie and Thomas Dewey, which would you prefer?
|
|
| Dewey |
64% |
| Willkie |
27% |
| Undecided |
9% |
By region
|
Dewey |
Willkie |
Undecided |
| New England |
50% |
42% |
8% |
| Mid-Atlantic |
69% |
25% |
6% |
| East Central |
74% |
16% |
10% |
| West Central |
63% |
27% |
10% |
| South |
47% |
39% |
14% |
| Mountain |
63% |
29% |
8% |
| West |
56% |
36% |
8% |
Bricker supporters only
|
|
| Dewey |
77% |
| Willkie |
11% |
| Undecided |
12% |
MacArthur supporters only
|
|
| Dewey |
60% |
| Willkie |
18% |
| Undecided |
22% |
Stassen supporters only
|
|
| Dewey |
55% |
| Willkie |
31% |
| Undecided |
14% |
Not really shocking that Minnesota would want its most recent governor to Republican nominee (Stassen). I kind of like that resigned from being governor to be in the Navy but I doubt he would have accepted nomination.
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