Election 1944: Gallup Polls

September 4
Presidential trial heat

Interviewing Date 8/18-23/44
Survey #325-K
Question #4a

If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?

By occupation

Business 37%
Professional 39%
White collar 48%
Skilled 54%
Semiskilled 59%
Unskilled 63%

September 6
Presidential trial heat

Special Survey

If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?

Roosevelt 49%
Dewey 51%

These figures are based on the 75% of those interviewed who say they are β€œabsolutely certain” that they will vote in the election.

September 11
Presidential trial heat

Special Survey

Asked in Maine: If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?

Roosevelt 46%
Dewey 54%

September 13
Presidential trial heat

Special Survey

If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?

Michigan only

Roosevelt 45%
Dewey 55%

Iowa only

Roosevelt 45%
Dewey 55%

Nebraska only

Roosevelt 34%
Dewey 66%

September 15
Presidential trial heat

Special Survey

If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?

Washington only

Roosevelt 55%
Dewey 45%

Idaho only

Roosevelt 48%
Dewey 52%

September 16
Presidential trial heat

Special Survey

Asked in Oregon: If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?

Roosevelt 51%
Dewey 49%

September 17
Presidential trial heat

Special Survey

If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?

California only

Roosevelt 55%
Dewey 45%

Oklahoma only

Roosevelt 51%
Dewey 49%

September 20
Presidential trial heat

Interviewing Date 9/14-19/44
Survey #328
Question #5a

If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?

CIO members only

Roosevelt 72%
Dewey 28%

AFL members only

Roosevelt 63%
Dewey 37%

September 27
Party strength

Interviewing Date 9/14-19/44
Survey #328
Question #7

In politics as of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, Socialist, or Independent?

Republican 39%
Democrat 41%
Independent 20%
Socialist <1%

September 28
Presidential trial heat

Interviewing Date 9/14-19/44
Survey #328
Question #6

Asked of Independents: If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?

Roosevelt 55%
Dewey 45%
No opinion 20%

October 2
Party strength

Interviewing Date 9/22-27/44
Survey #329
Question #9c

As you feel today, would you be more likely to vote for the Democratic or the Republican candidate for Congress from your district?

Republican 50.5%
Democrat 49.5%

October 6
Presidential trial heat

Interviewing Date 9/22-27/44
Survey #329
Question #5a

If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?

Roosevelt 51%
Dewey 49%

This does not include any soldier votes.

October 9
Presidential trial heat

Interviewing Date 9/22-27/44
Survey #329
Question #5b

If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?

By education

Roosevelt Dewey
College 35% 65%
High school 47% 53%
Grade school 58% 42%

October 11
Presidential trial heat

Special Survey

If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?

Ohio only

Roosevelt 47%
Dewey 3%

Minnesota only

Roosevelt 52%
Dewey 48%

Missouri only

Roosevelt 50%
Dewey 50%

Nebraska only

Roosevelt 36%
Dewey 64%

North Dakota only

Roosevelt 45%
Dewey 55%

Michigan only

Roosevelt 46%
Dewey 54%

October 13
Presidential trial heat

Special Survey

If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?

Mountain states only

Roosevelt Dewey
Montana 53% 47%
Arizona 58% 42%
Colorado 45% 55%
Idaho 48% 52%
Wyoming 44% 56%
Utah 57% 43%
Nevada 53% 47%
New Mexico 49% 51%

Pacific states only

Roosevelt Dewey
California 53% 47%
Oregon 50% 50%
Washington 54% 46%

October 14
Presidential trial heat

Special Survey

If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?

Southern states only

Roosevelt Dewey
South Carolina 91% 9%
Mississippi 87% 13%
Georgia 83% 17%
Alabama 78% 22%
Louisiana 77% 23%
Arkansas 74% 26%
Texas 74% 26%
Florida 74% 26%
North Carolina 71% 29%
Tennessee 67% 33%
Virginia 64% 36%
Kentucky 55% 45%
Oklahoma 51% 49%

October 16
Presidential trial heat

Special Survey

If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?

No. of states Electoral vote
Roosevelt 25 243
Dewey 19 228
On the line 4 60

266 electoral votes are needed to win the election.

October 18
Presidential trial heat

Interviewing Date 10/12-17/44
Survey #331-S
Question #8a

CIO members only

Roosevelt 72%
Dewey 28%

AFL members only

Roosevelt 64%
Dewey 36%

October 21
Presidential trial heat

Interviewing Date 10/14-19/44
Survey #332
Question #8a

If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?

By age

Roosevelt Dewey
21-29 years 59% 41%
30-49 years 51% 49%
50 years and over 47% 53%

October 24
Third party vote

Special Survey

Do you plan to vote for a third-party candidate in the November presidential election?

Yes 0.7%
No 99.3%