Interviewing Date 7/8-13/44
Survey #322-T
Question #7
Did you happen to read the Republican Party platform drawn up at their convention in Chicago recently?
| Yes | 36% |
| No | 64% |
Farmers only
| Yes | 8% |
| No | 92% |
Interviewing Date 7/8-13/44
Survey #322-T
Question #11c
If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?
Have voted before in present election district
| Roosevelt | 48% |
| Dewey | 52% |
Have not voted before in present election district
| Roosevelt | 59% |
| Dewey | 41% |
Special Survey
If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?
Illinois only
| Roosevelt | 46% |
| Dewey | 54% |
Ohio only
| Roosevelt | 46% |
| Dewey | 54% |
Michigan only
| Roosevelt | 43% |
| Dewey | 57% |
Indiana only
| Roosevelt | 43% |
| Dewey | 57% |
Special Survey
If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?
Deep South only
| Roosevelt | Dewey | |
|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 80% | 20% |
| Arkansas | 78% | 22% |
| Florida | 68% | 32% |
| Georgia | 84% | 16% |
| Louisiana | 76% | 24% |
| Mississippi | 84% | 16% |
| South Carolina | 89% | 11% |
| Texas | 75% | 25% |
Special Survey
Asked in Massachusetts: If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?
| Roosevelt | 52% |
| Dewey | 48% |
Special Survey
If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?
California only
| Roosevelt | 53% |
| Dewey | 47% |
Washington only
| Roosevelt | 53% |
| Dewey | 47% |
Oregon only
| Roosevelt | 49% |
| Dewey | 51% |
Special Survey
If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?
Iowa only
| Roosevelt | 44% |
| Dewey | 56% |
Minnesota only
| Roosevelt | 47% |
| Dewey | 53% |
Wisconsin only
| Roosevelt | 44% |
| Dewey | 56% |
Special Survey
If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?
North Dakota only
| Roosevelt | 38% |
| Dewey | 62% |
South Dakota only
| Roosevelt | 37% |
| Dewey | 63% |
Kansas only
| Roosevelt | 34% |
| Dewey | 66% |
Nebraska only
| Roosevelt | 33% |
| Dewey | 67% |
Special Survey
If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?
Rocky Mountain states only
| Roosevelt | Dewey | |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado | 45% | 55% |
| Idaho | 47% | 53% |
| Wyoming | 45% | 55% |
| Montana | 57% | 43% |
| Arizona | 58% | 42% |
| Utah | 57% | 43% |
| Nevada | 56% | 44% |
| New Mexico | 56% | 44% |
Special Survey
Asked in Great Britain: Can you tell me the name of the man selected to run on the ticket with President Roosevelt?
| Correct (Truman) | 64% |
| Incorrect, no opinion | 36% |
Asked in Great Britain: Can you tell me the name of Mr. Dewey’s Republican running mate?
| Correct (Bricker) | 62% |
| Incorrect, no opinion | 38% |
Special Survey
If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?
Virginia only
| Roosevelt | 64% |
| Dewey | 36% |
North Carolina only
| Roosevelt | 67% |
| Dewey | 33% |
Tennessee only
| Roosevelt | 67% |
| Dewey | 33% |
Interview Date 7/20-25/44
Survey #323-K
Question #4
Regardless of how you yourself plan to vote, which presidential candidate do you think will win – Franklin Roosevelt or Thomas Dewey?
| Roosevelt | 71% |
| Dewey | 17% |
| Undecided | 12% |
Special Survey
If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?
Missouri only
| Roosevelt | 49% |
| Dewey | 51% |
Kentucky only
| Roosevelt | 54% |
| Dewey | 46% |
Oklahoma only
| Roosevelt | 51% |
| Dewey | 49% |
West Virginia only
| Roosevelt | 53% |
| Dewey | 47% |
Maryland only
| Roosevelt | 52% |
| Dewey | 48% |
Special Survey – Summary
If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?
Safe for Roosevelt
| Roosevelt | Dewey | |
|---|---|---|
| South Carolina | 89% | 11% |
| Georgia | 84% | 16% |
| Mississippi | 84% | 16% |
| Alabama | 80% | 20% |
| Arkansas | 78% | 22% |
| Louisiana | 76% | 24% |
| Texas | 75% | 25% |
| Florida | 68% | 32% |
| Tennessee | 67% | 33% |
| North Carolina | 67% | 33% |
| Virginia | 64% | 36% |
| Arizona | 58% | 42% |
| Montana | 57% | 43% |
| Utah | 57% | 43% |
| Nevada | 56% | 44% |
| New Mexico | 56% | 44% |
| Kentucky | 54% | 46% |
157 electoral votes
Leaning toward Roosevelt
| Roosevelt | Dewey | |
|---|---|---|
| West Virginia | 53% | 47% |
| Washington | 53% | 47% |
| California | 53% | 47% |
| Maryland | 52% | 48% |
| Massachusetts | 52% | 48% |
| Pennsylvania | 52% | 48% |
| Oklahoma | 51% | 49% |
| Rhode Island | 51% | 49% |
| New Hampshire | 51% | 49% |
| Connecticut | 51% | 49% |
| Delaware | 51% | 49% |
129 electoral votes
Safe for Dewey
| Nebraska | 33% | 67% |
| Kansas | 34% | 66% |
| South Dakota | 37% | 63% |
| North Dakota | 38% | 62% |
| Michigan | 43% | 57% |
| Indiana | 43% | 57% |
| Iowa | 44% | 56% |
| Wisconsin | 44% | 56% |
| Wyoming | 45% | 55% |
| Colorado | 45% | 55% |
| Vermont | 46% | 54% |
| Illinois | 46% | 54% |
| Ohio | 46% | 54% |
141 electoral votes
Leaning toward Dewey
| Idaho | 47% | 53% |
| Minnesota | 47% | 53% |
| Maine | 47% | 53% |
| New York | 48% | 52% |
| Oregon | 49% | 51% |
| Missouri | 49% | 51% |
| New Jersey | 49% | 51% |
104 electoral votes
The soldier vote is not included.
Special Survey
If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?
Businessmen only
| Roosevelt | 37% |
| Dewey | 63% |
Professionals only
| Roosevelt | 39% |
| Dewey | 61% |
Special Survey
Asked of farmers: If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?
| Roosevelt | 45% |
| Dewey | 55% |
Midwestern farmers only
| Roosevelt | 38% |
| Dewey | 62% |
Interviewing Date 7/20-25/44
Survey #323-K
Question #10
Do you think that President Roosevelt’s health will or will not permit him to carry on the responsibility of the Presidency for another four years?
| Will permit him | 66% |
| Will not | 34% |
Roosevelt supporters only
| Will permit him | 84% |
| Will not | 16% |
Dewey supporters only
| Will permit him | 45% |
| Will not | 55% |
Interviewing Date 8/18-23/44
Survey #325-K
Question #4a
If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?
By occupation
| Business | 37% |
| Professional | 39% |
| White collar | 48% |
| Skilled | 54% |
| Semiskilled | 59% |
| Unskilled | 63% |
Special Survey
If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote – for Franklin Roosevelt or for Thomas Dewey?
| Roosevelt | 49% |
| Dewey | 51% |
These figures are based on the 75% of those interviewed who say they are “absolutely certain” that they will vote in the election.