Election 1944: Gallup Polls

October 25
Republican presidential candidates

Interviewing Date 9/16-21/43
Survey #302-J
Question #4c

Republicans were asked: Which one of these men would you prefer as the Republican candidate for President next year?

Dewey 32%
Willkie 28%
MacArthur 19%
Bricker 8%
Stassen 6%
Taft 5%
Warren 1%
Saltonstall 1%

By region

Dewey Willkie MacArthur Bricker Others
New England 30% 40% 15% 2% 13%
Mid-Atlantic 41% 29% 17% 4% 9%
East Central 30% 18% 19% 19% 14%
West Central 30% 26% 10% 5% 19%
South 24% 35% 26% 5% 10%
Mountain 26% 33% 22% 6% 13%
Pacific 25% 32% 17% 4% 22%

October 31
Wendell Willkie

Interviewing Date 10/1-5/43
Survey #303-K
Question #10a

We would like to find out what things people like and dislike about Wendell Willkie. What do you, yourself, like most about him?

The following are listed in order of frequency of mention:

  • Sincerity, frankness, ability
  • Winning personality
  • Fine appearance
  • Speaking ability
  • Open-mindedness
  • Progressiveness
  • Interest in world affairs
Interviewing Date 10/1-5/43
Survey #303-K
Question #10b

Now what would you say you like least about him?

The following are listed in order of frequency of mention:

  • Too changeable
  • Talks too much
  • Judgments are not sound
  • Too much like Roosevelt
  • Lacks political experience
  • Is a Republican
Interviewing Date 10/1-5/43
Survey #303-K
Question #10d

Do you think Mr. Willkie could handle big problems like unemployment better than President Roosevelt, as well as Roosevelt, or not so well?

Better 16%
As well 30%
Not so well 41%
No opinion 13%

By political affiliation

Better As well Not so well No opinion
Republicans 30% 36% 23% 11%
Democrats 5% 24% 58% 13%
Interviewing Date 10/1-5/43
Survey #303-K
Question #10e

Do you think Mr. Willkie would be good at handling problems which will come up after the war concerning our relations with other nations?

Yes 53%
No 24%
No opinion 23%

By political affiliation

Yes No No opinion
Republicans 62% 22% 16%
Democrats 46% 28% 26%

November 7
Party strength

Interviewing Date 10/8-13/43
Survey #304-K
Question #9

Midwestern farmers were asked: Leaving the question of candidates aside, if the presidential election were being held today, which party would you vote for?

Democratic 40%
Republican 60%

November 14
Republican presidential candidates

Interviewing Date 10/8-13/43
Survey #304-K
Question #10

Republicans were asked: If you had to choose between Thomas Dewey and Wendell Willkie for the Republican presidential nomination, which one would you prefer?

Dewey 55%
Willkie 35%
Undecided 10%

By region

Dewey Willkie Undecided
New England/Mid-Atlantic 52% 40% 8%
East Central 69% 23% 8%
West Central 57% 32% 11%
South 36% 45% 19%
West 48% 42% 10%

November 27
Republican presidential candidates

Interviewing Date 9/16-21/43
Survey #302-J
Question #4c

Ohio Republicans were asked: Which one of the following would you prefer as the Republican presidential candidate next year?

Bricker 40%
Dewey 18%
Willkie 16%
MacArthur 16%
Taft 7%
Stassen 3%

November 28
Roosevelt administration

Interviewing Date 11/11-16/43
Survey #306-K
Question #3

Those voters in New York, New Jersey, and Kentucky who shifted to the Republican Party at the last election were asked: What do you like least about the way the Roosevelt administration is handling things?

The following reasons are listed in order of frequency of mention:

  • Incompetent and dictatorial management of home affairs
  • Coddling of labor
  • Government extravagance
  • Failure to keep prices down
  • Bad job of rationing

December 10
Republican presidential candidates

Interviewing Date 11/25 – 12/1/43
Survey #307-K
Question #6

Pennsylvania Republicans were asked: Which one of the following would you like to see nominated for President by the Republican Party next year?

Dewey 36%
Willkie 29%
MacArthur 19%
Taft 6%
Bricker 5%
Stassen 5%
Others <1%

December 11
Republican presidential candidates

Interviewing Date 11/25 – 12/1/43
Survey #307-K
Question #6a

New Jersey Republicans were asked: Which one of the following would you like to see nominated for President by the Republican Party next year?

Dewey 39%
Willkie 30%
MacArthur 17%
Taft 7%
Bricker 4%
Stassen 3%
Others <1%

December 17
Republican presidential candidates

Interviewing Date 11/25 – 12/1/43
Survey #307-K
Question #6b

Massachusetts Republicans were asked: Which one of the following would you like to see nominated for President by the Republican Party next year?

Willkie 40%
Dewey 30%
Saltonstall 15%
MacArthur 9%
Bricker 4%
Stassen 2%
Others <1%

December 18
Republican presidential candidates

Interviewing Date 11/25 – 12/1/43
Survey #307-K
Question #6c

Kentucky Republicans were asked: Which one of the following would you like to see nominated for President by the Republican Party next year?

Willkie 31%
Dewey 26%
MacArthur 20%
Taft 13%
Bricker 8%
Warren 1%
Stassen 1%
Others <1%

December 19
Republican presidential candidates

Interviewing Date 11/25 – 12/1/43
Survey #307-K
Question #7

Republicans were asked: Which one of the following would you like to see nominated for President by the Republican Party next year?

Dewey 36%
Willkie 25%
MacArthur 15%
Bricker 10%
Stassen 6%
Taft 5%
Saltonstall 1%
Warren 1%
Eric Johnston 1%

By region

Dewey Willkie MacArthur Bricker Others
New England 35% 39% 9% 5% 12%
Mid-Atlantic 42% 27% 14% 7% 10%
East Central 37% 13% 15% 21% 14%
West Central 34% 22% 16% 6% 22%
South 25% 34% 21% 9% 11%
Mountain 32% 28% 20% 5% 15%
Pacific 29% 28% 10% 6% 22%

Do not change the horse.

1 Like

I wonder what would have happened if the Dewey-MacArthur ticket ran and won in 1944 :thinking:

2 Likes

Anything is better than Frankie Part IV in my view. :smile:

4 Likes

Who knows, maybe Dewey/MacArthur would have defeated Truman in 1948.

2 Likes

I can’t see MacArthur stepping down from his active command role and I don’t think it would have been legal for him to run while still in uniform.

3 Likes

If Dewey had won in 1944, I don’t think Truman would have been the Democratic nominee in 1948.

3 Likes

Agreed, MacArthur was busy in the Philippines Campaign and there was no chance he would give that up to campaign for the vice presidency. I just thought it was an interesting (although extremely unrealistic) scenario

3 Likes

December 24
Democratic presidential candidates

Interviewing Date 11/25 – 12/1/43
Survey #307-K
Question #6

Democrats were asked: Will you look over these possible candidates (on card) and tell me which one you would like to see as the next President of the United States?

Roosevelt 85%
Wallace 6%
Farley 3%
Byrd 2%
McNutt 1%
Marshall 1%
Byrnes 1%
Douglas 1%

By region

Roosevelt Wallace Farley Byrd Others
New England/Mid-Atlantic 88% 5% 3% 2% 2%
East Central 83% 7% 3% 1% 6%
West Central 82% 9% 3% 1% 5%
South 81% 4% 3% 5% 7%
West 89% 5% 2% 1% 3%
1 Like

December 26
Roosevelt administration

Interviewing Date 11/25 – 12/1/43
Survey #307-K
Question #2b

Farmers were asked: What do you dislike most about the way the Roosevelt administration is handling things?

Government extravagance 20%
Incompetent and dictatorial management of home affairs, especially with farm problems 15%
Coddling of labor 13%
Farm programs not effective 11%
Bad job of rationing 6%
Failure to keep prices down 2%
Miscellaneous 13%
No complaint 20%
1 Like