August 1
Presidential trial heat
Interviewing Date 7/9-14/43
Survey #298-K
Question #14c
If the presidential election were being held today and Franklin Roosevelt were running for President on the Democratic ticket against Wendell Willkie on the Republican ticket, how do you think you would vote?
|
|
| Roosevelt |
59% |
| Willkie |
41% |
| No opinion |
8% |
By income
|
Roosevelt |
Willkie |
| Upper |
39% |
61% |
| Middle |
53% |
47% |
| Lower |
66% |
34% |
By age
|
Roosevelt |
Willkie |
| 21-29 years |
67% |
33% |
| 30-49 years |
58% |
42% |
| 50 years and over |
55% |
45% |
By region
|
Roosevelt |
Willkie |
| East |
58% |
42% |
| Midwest |
54% |
46% |
| South |
71% |
29% |
| West |
56% |
44% |
August 4
Republican presidential candidates
Interviewing Date 7/9-14/43
Survey #298-K
Question #13b
Which one of these men would you prefer as the Republican candidate for President next year?
Choice of Ohio Republicans
|
|
| Bricker |
54% |
| Dewey |
19% |
| MacArthur |
12% |
| Willkie |
11% |
| Stassen |
4% |
| Saltonstall |
<1% |
| Warren |
<1% |
Choice of New York Republicans
|
|
| Dewey |
53% |
| Willkie |
27% |
| MacArthur |
8% |
| Bricker |
5% |
| Stassen |
4% |
| Saltonstall |
2% |
| Warren |
1% |
Choice of Pennsylvania Republicans
|
|
| Dewey |
38% |
| Willkie |
33% |
| MacArthur |
14% |
| Bricker |
9% |
| Stassen |
5% |
| Warren |
1% |
| Saltonstall |
<1% |
Choice of Illinois Republicans
|
|
| Dewey |
41% |
| Willkie |
19% |
| MacArthur |
18% |
| Bricker |
11% |
| Stassen |
10% |
| Saltonstall |
1% |
| Warren |
<1% |
August 8
Presidential trial heat
Interviewing Date 7/9-14/43
Survey #298-K
Question #14b
If the presidential election were being held today and Franklin Roosevelt were running for President on the Democratic ticket against Thomas E. Dewey on the Republican ticket, how do you think you would vote?
By income
|
Roosevelt |
Dewey |
| Upper |
43% |
57% |
| Middle |
50% |
50% |
| Lower |
61% |
39% |
By occupation
|
Roosevelt |
Dewey |
| Workers |
59% |
41% |
| Farmers |
45% |
55% |
| Farmers outside South |
39% |
61% |
By age
|
Roosevelt |
Dewey |
| 21-29 years |
64% |
36% |
| 30-49 years |
54% |
46% |
| 50 years and over |
51% |
49% |
By region
|
Roosevelt |
Dewey |
| East |
55% |
45% |
| Midwest |
51% |
49% |
| South |
72% |
28% |
| West |
55% |
45% |
Union members only
August 16
Democratic presidential candidates
Interviewing Date 7/30 – 8/4/43
Survey #299-K
Question #8a
Which one of these men would you prefer as Democratic candidate for President next year?
Choice of New York Democrats
|
|
| Roosevelt |
88% |
| Wallace |
5% |
| McNutt |
2% |
| Farley |
2% |
| Douglas |
1% |
| Winant |
1% |
| Byrnes |
1% |
Choice of Pennsylvania Democrats
|
|
| Roosevelt |
91% |
| Wallace |
5% |
| Farley |
2% |
| McNutt |
1% |
| Winant |
1% |
| Douglas |
<1% |
| Byrnes |
<1% |
Choice of Illinois Democrats
|
|
| Roosevelt |
87% |
| Wallace |
5% |
| Farley |
4% |
| Byrnes |
2% |
| McNutt |
1% |
| Douglas |
1% |
| Winant |
<1% |
Choice of Ohio Democrats
|
|
| Roosevelt |
91% |
| Farley |
3% |
| Byrnes |
3% |
| Wallace |
2% |
| Douglas |
1% |
| Winant |
<1% |
| McNutt |
<1% |
Choice of California Democrats
|
|
| Roosevelt |
86% |
| Wallace |
6% |
| Farley |
4% |
| McNutt |
1% |
| Douglas |
1% |
| Byrnes |
1% |
| Winant |
1% |
September 5
Voting age
Interviewing Date 8/20-25/43
Survey #300-T
Question #1
Congress may be called upon to consider a constitutional amendment to allow persons 18, 19, and 20 years old to vote in elections. Would you like to have your Congressman vote for or against this proposal?
|
|
| For |
52% |
| Against |
42% |
| No opinion |
6% |
By region
|
For |
Against |
No opinion |
| New England/Mid-Atlantic |
53% |
41% |
6% |
| East Central |
50% |
45% |
5% |
| West Central |
50% |
45% |
5% |
| South |
52% |
40% |
8% |
| West |
53% |
40% |
7% |
September 17
Republican presidential candidates
Interviewing Date 8/26-31/43
Survey #301-K
Question #4b
If Harold Stassen, Leverett Saltonstall, Douglas MacArthur, John Bricker, Earl Warren, Robert Taft, Thomas Dewey, and Wendell Willkie were candidates for the Republican presidential nomination next year, which would you prefer?
Choice of New York Republicans
|
|
| Dewey |
51% |
| Willkie |
29% |
| MacArthur |
11% |
| Taft |
3% |
| Bricker |
2% |
| Saltonstall |
2% |
| Warren |
1% |
| Stassen |
1% |
Choice of Pennsylvania Republicans
|
|
| Dewey |
39% |
| Willkie |
30% |
| MacArthur |
16% |
| Taft |
7% |
| Bricker |
5% |
| Stassen |
1% |
| Saltonstall |
1% |
| Warren |
1% |
Choice of Illinois Republicans
|
|
| Dewey |
39% |
| Willkie |
20% |
| MacArthur |
20% |
| Taft |
10% |
| Bricker |
6% |
| Stassen |
5% |
| Saltonstall |
<1% |
| Warren |
<1% |
Choice of Ohio Republicans
|
|
| Bricker |
47% |
| Dewey |
16% |
| Willkie |
14% |
| MacArthur |
12% |
| Taft |
9% |
| Stassen |
2% |
| Warren |
<1% |
| Saltonstall |
<1% |
Choice of California Republicans
|
|
| Willkie |
35% |
| Dewey |
27% |
| MacArthur |
14% |
| Warren |
13% |
| Taft |
4% |
| Bricker |
3% |
| Stassen |
3% |
| Saltonstall |
1% |
Choice of New Jersey Republicans
|
|
| Dewey |
43% |
| Willkie |
30% |
| MacArthur |
14% |
| Taft |
8% |
| Bricker |
3% |
| Saltonstall |
1% |
| Warren |
1% |
| Stassen |
<1% |
Choice of Michigan Republicans
|
|
| Dewey |
46% |
| Willkie |
21% |
| MacArthur |
16% |
| Bricker |
8% |
| Taft |
5% |
| Stassen |
3% |
| Saltonstall |
1% |
| Warren |
<1% |
Choice of Indiana Republicans
|
|
| Willkie |
30% |
| Dewey |
30% |
| MacArthur |
13% |
| Bricker |
12% |
| Taft |
11% |
| Stassen |
4% |
| Saltonstall |
<1% |
| Warren |
<1% |
Choice of Massachusetts Republicans
|
|
| Willkie |
45% |
| Dewey |
29% |
| Saltonstall |
16% |
| MacArthur |
9% |
| Bricker |
1% |
| Taft |
<1% |
| Stassen |
<1% |
| Warren |
<1% |
Choice of Missouri Republicans
|
|
| Dewey |
32% |
| Willkie |
27% |
| MacArthur |
23% |
| Taft |
7% |
| Bricker |
5% |
| Stassen |
4% |
| Warren |
1% |
| Saltonstall |
1% |
Interviewing Date 8/26 – 9/1/43
Survey #301-K
Question #5c
If the presidential election were being held today, and Franklin Roosevelt were running for President on the Democratic ticket against Douglas MacArthur on the Republican ticket, how do you think you would vote?
|
|
| Roosevelt |
58% |
| MacArthur |
42% |
By region
|
Roosevelt |
MacArthur |
| New England |
60% |
40% |
| Mid-Atlantc |
60% |
40% |
| East Central |
54% |
46% |
| West Central |
49% |
51% |
| South |
69% |
31% |
| Mountain |
51% |
49% |
| Pacific |
60% |
40% |
By income
|
Roosevelt |
MacArthur |
| Upper |
50% |
50% |
| Middle |
55% |
45% |
| Lower |
62% |
38% |
By age
|
Roosevelt |
MacArthur |
| 21-29 years |
71% |
29% |
| 30-49 years |
59% |
41% |
| 50 years and over |
51% |
49% |
Farmers only
|
|
| Roosevelt |
44% |
| MacArthur |
56% |
Farmers outside South only
|
|
| Roosevelt |
42% |
| MacArthur |
58% |
September 22
Voting age
Interviewing Date 8/20-25/43
Survey #300-T
Question #1
Voters in the ten states with the largest number of votes cast in 1940 were asked: Congress may be called upon to consider a constitutional amendment to allow persons 18, 19, and 20 years old to vote in elections. Would you like to have your Congressman vote for or against this proposal?
|
For |
Against |
Undecided |
| New York |
55% |
40% |
5% |
| Pennsylvania |
53% |
40% |
7% |
| Illinois |
48% |
47% |
5% |
| Ohio |
51% |
43% |
6% |
| California |
52% |
42% |
6% |
| Michigan |
52% |
44% |
4% |
| Massachusetts |
47% |
46% |
7% |
| New Jersey |
58% |
36% |
6% |
| Missouri |
48% |
47% |
5% |
| Indiana |
49% |
44% |
7% |
Interviewing Date 8/26 – 9/1/43
Survey #301-K
Question #6b
If the presidential election were being held today and Henry Wallace were running for President on the Democratic ticket against Thomas Dewey on the Republican ticket, how do you think you would vote?
By region
|
Dewey |
Wallace |
| New England |
69% |
31% |
| Mid-Atlantic |
64% |
36% |
| East Central |
62% |
38% |
| West Central |
61% |
39% |
| South |
36% |
64% |
| Rocky Mountain |
61% |
39% |
| Pacific Coast |
64% |
36% |
Interviewing Date 9/16-21/43
Survey #302-J
Question #5a
If the presidential election were being held today and Franklin Roosevelt were running for President on the Democratic ticket against Thomas Dewey on the Republican ticket, how do you think you would vote?
Interviewing Date 8/26 – 9/1/43
Survey #301-K
Question #5a
Looking ahead to the next presidential term, that is, from 1945 to 1949, what do you think will be the greatest problem facing this country?
|
|
| Jobs, economic adjustment |
58% |
| Lasting peace |
13% |
| Reducing taxes, paying off national debt |
11% |
| Food shortages |
6% |
| Labor problems |
4% |
| Growing bureaucracy in government |
3% |
| Others |
15% |
October 17
Party strength
Interviewing Date 10/1-5/43
Survey #303-K
Question #2
Leaving the question of candidates aside, if the presidential election were being held today, which party would you vote for – the Democratic or the Republican?
|
|
| Democratic |
54% |
| Republican |
46% |
By region
|
Demoratic |
Republican |
| New England |
51% |
49% |
| Mid-Atlantic |
52% |
48% |
| East Central |
49% |
51% |
| West Central |
46% |
54% |
| South |
76% |
24% |
| Rocky Mountain |
55% |
45% |
| Pacific Coast |
53% |
47% |
October 20
Republican presidential candidates
Interviewing Date 9/16-21/43
Survey #302-J
Question #4c
Missouri Republicans were asked: Which one of these men would you prefer as the Republican candidate for President next year?
|
|
| Dewey |
28% |
| MacArthur |
26% |
| Willkie |
25% |
| Taft |
7% |
| Bricker |
7% |
| Stassen |
5% |
| Warren |
1% |
| Saltonstall |
1% |
October 25
Republican presidential candidates
Interviewing Date 9/16-21/43
Survey #302-J
Question #4c
Republicans were asked: Which one of these men would you prefer as the Republican candidate for President next year?
|
|
| Dewey |
32% |
| Willkie |
28% |
| MacArthur |
19% |
| Bricker |
8% |
| Stassen |
6% |
| Taft |
5% |
| Warren |
1% |
| Saltonstall |
1% |
By region
|
Dewey |
Willkie |
MacArthur |
Bricker |
Others |
| New England |
30% |
40% |
15% |
2% |
13% |
| Mid-Atlantic |
41% |
29% |
17% |
4% |
9% |
| East Central |
30% |
18% |
19% |
19% |
14% |
| West Central |
30% |
26% |
10% |
5% |
19% |
| South |
24% |
35% |
26% |
5% |
10% |
| Mountain |
26% |
33% |
22% |
6% |
13% |
| Pacific |
25% |
32% |
17% |
4% |
22% |
Interviewing Date 10/1-5/43
Survey #303-K
Question #10a
We would like to find out what things people like and dislike about Wendell Willkie. What do you, yourself, like most about him?
The following are listed in order of frequency of mention:
- Sincerity, frankness, ability
- Winning personality
- Fine appearance
- Speaking ability
- Open-mindedness
- Progressiveness
- Interest in world affairs
Interviewing Date 10/1-5/43
Survey #303-K
Question #10b
Now what would you say you like least about him?
The following are listed in order of frequency of mention:
- Too changeable
- Talks too much
- Judgments are not sound
- Too much like Roosevelt
- Lacks political experience
- Is a Republican
Interviewing Date 10/1-5/43
Survey #303-K
Question #10d
Do you think Mr. Willkie could handle big problems like unemployment better than President Roosevelt, as well as Roosevelt, or not so well?
|
|
| Better |
16% |
| As well |
30% |
| Not so well |
41% |
| No opinion |
13% |
By political affiliation
|
Better |
As well |
Not so well |
No opinion |
| Republicans |
30% |
36% |
23% |
11% |
| Democrats |
5% |
24% |
58% |
13% |
Interviewing Date 10/1-5/43
Survey #303-K
Question #10e
Do you think Mr. Willkie would be good at handling problems which will come up after the war concerning our relations with other nations?
|
|
| Yes |
53% |
| No |
24% |
| No opinion |
23% |
By political affiliation
|
Yes |
No |
No opinion |
| Republicans |
62% |
22% |
16% |
| Democrats |
46% |
28% |
26% |
Interviewing Date 10/8-13/43
Survey #304-K
Question #9
Midwestern farmers were asked: Leaving the question of candidates aside, if the presidential election were being held today, which party would you vote for?
|
|
| Democratic |
40% |
| Republican |
60% |
Interviewing Date 10/8-13/43
Survey #304-K
Question #10
Republicans were asked: If you had to choose between Thomas Dewey and Wendell Willkie for the Republican presidential nomination, which one would you prefer?
|
|
| Dewey |
55% |
| Willkie |
35% |
| Undecided |
10% |
By region
|
Dewey |
Willkie |
Undecided |
| New England/Mid-Atlantic |
52% |
40% |
8% |
| East Central |
69% |
23% |
8% |
| West Central |
57% |
32% |
11% |
| South |
36% |
45% |
19% |
| West |
48% |
42% |
10% |
November 27
Republican presidential candidates
Interviewing Date 9/16-21/43
Survey #302-J
Question #4c
Ohio Republicans were asked: Which one of the following would you prefer as the Republican presidential candidate next year?
|
|
| Bricker |
40% |
| Dewey |
18% |
| Willkie |
16% |
| MacArthur |
16% |
| Taft |
7% |
| Stassen |
3% |
Interviewing Date 11/11-16/43
Survey #306-K
Question #3
Those voters in New York, New Jersey, and Kentucky who shifted to the Republican Party at the last election were asked: What do you like least about the way the Roosevelt administration is handling things?
The following reasons are listed in order of frequency of mention:
- Incompetent and dictatorial management of home affairs
- Coddling of labor
- Government extravagance
- Failure to keep prices down
- Bad job of rationing
December 10
Republican presidential candidates
Interviewing Date 11/25 – 12/1/43
Survey #307-K
Question #6
Pennsylvania Republicans were asked: Which one of the following would you like to see nominated for President by the Republican Party next year?
|
|
| Dewey |
36% |
| Willkie |
29% |
| MacArthur |
19% |
| Taft |
6% |
| Bricker |
5% |
| Stassen |
5% |
| Others |
<1% |
Interviewing Date 11/25 – 12/1/43
Survey #307-K
Question #6a
New Jersey Republicans were asked: Which one of the following would you like to see nominated for President by the Republican Party next year?
|
|
| Dewey |
39% |
| Willkie |
30% |
| MacArthur |
17% |
| Taft |
7% |
| Bricker |
4% |
| Stassen |
3% |
| Others |
<1% |