Did the Allies know how severe the German fuel shortage was and what limitiations the fuel shortage set to possible German offensives?
I know that Germany needed desparately to conquer the oilfields of Maikop and Grozny, but did both the Soviets and the Western Allies know this?
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In general, they did not. I know of one American analyst who predicted that Germany’s severe fuel shortages would cripple its offensive capabilities in the Eastern Front, but I forget what his name was! The majority of Allied analysts did not, and George Herring’s “Aid to Russia: 1941-1946” explains this in detail:
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