Latins oppose U.S. air policy
Small nations seek equal voting power
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MESA orders end of strike; details secret
End of other walkouts sought
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Dr. Alexis Carrel, biologist, dies
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Bomber follows tracer to U-boat
Plane riddled but sinks Nazi sub
By North American Newspaper Alliance
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Roosevelt visiting home valley today
Hyde Park, New York (UP) –
President Roosevelt went calling on his neighbors of the Hudson River Valley today, following his usual custom of concluding his campaign on home grounds.
The President had cold weather for his open-car trip to the towns around his home here. There were light snow flurries almost until the time Mr. Roosevelt left his house, when the snow stopped and the sun peeked through a murky overcast.
Mr. Roosevelt went first to the Nelson House in Poughkeepsie to pick up Jim Benson, Dutchess County Democratic chairman, then headed for Wappinger Falls, Beacon, Newburg and Kingston before returning lo Poughkeepsie for a little afternoon speech at the post office.
Speech at 10:00 tonight
Tonight, he makes a nationwide broadcast based on this thesis: A full turnout at the voting booths will be an act by the people at home to protect the right of a free vote for the men fighting overseas.
All networks will broadcast Mr. Roosevelt’s speech at 10:00 p.m. EWT.
There was another factor in the drive by the President and his campaign advisers for a record-breaking vote. Most of the higherups in the Democratic Party believe the President’s reelection chances increase in direct ratio to the size of the vote – the more votes, the heavier the odds on Mr. Roosevelt.
The President spent Sunday touring his Hudson River estate and working over war dispatches with his Chief of Staff, Adm. William D. Leahy.
Country gentleman’s day
Tomorrow, the President will follow his custom of past years by motoring the short distance from his estate to the old town hall in Hyde Park where he will confront his old friend and election official, Mrs. Emma Crapser, give his name and occupation – “tree grower” – and then cast his vote.
Yesterday at Hyde Park was relatively quiet. A pouch of important dispatches was flown in from Washington. Others came in by radio for the President and Adm. Leahy.
For the most part, he spent the day of a country gentleman, going out in the late afternoon for a brief drive around his property – driving his own open car.
Meanwhile, his campaign advisers and immediate staff were ecstatic about the way “the boss” came through what they considered an arduous campaign schedule. Everybody in the Roosevelt camp was confident of victory tomorrow and the general feeling was that Mr. Roosevelt will be reelected by a substantial margin.
Governor Dewey resting second straight day
Albany, New York (UP) –
Governor Thomas E. Dewey took it easy today, his vigorous campaign for the Presidency over except for a nationwide broadcast tonight to urge Americans to exercise the rare wartime privilege of casting a ballot, regardless of their choice.
All networks will broadcast Mr. Dewey’s speech at 11:00 p.m. EWT.
The Republican candidate’s advisers anticipated that the broadcast would reach the largest audience of the campaign, but Mr. Dewey was expected to confine his remarks to a plea for a record vote, which in itself would be a challenge to Democratic claims that President Roosevelt’s fourth-term chances will be in direct ratio to the size of the popular vote.
Two days of leisure
Governor Dewey consented to having the fiery speech he delivered Saturday night in New York City rebroadcast at 9:30 p.m. EWT over the Mutual Network.
It was the second straight day of rest for the youthful candidate. Mr. Dewey arose leisurely Sunday, boarded the special train which carried him on his 20,000-mile campaign tour at noon in New York, and went immediately to the Executive Mansion after arriving here.
The crowd in the New York railroad station applauded the GOP candidate and Mrs. Dewey as they walked to their train. Mr. Dewey appeared ready to stand on his campaign argument that “it’s time for a change” and his promise, if elected, of “the biggest Washington housecleaning in history.”
Charges and promises
Governor Dewey visited 22 states in his campaign, with stops ranging from railroad station appearances to nationwide radio speeches. He charged that the Roosevelt administration failed to provide jobs in peacetime, had become “tired and quarrelsome in office,” had prolonged the war through “confused incompetence” and “improvised meddling,” and now seeks to sell out the Democratic Party for self-perpetuation.
He promised “to speed total victory and the prompt return of our fighting men by putting energy and competence in Washington behind the magnificent effort of our military command,” “to provide American leadership in the world for an effective organization among all nations to prevent future wars,” and “to direct all government policies in the peacetime years ahead to achieve jobs and opportunity for every American.”
Mr. Dewey will leave Albany tomorrow morning, probably by train, for New York City, where he will cast his vote at a 48th Street polling place. He will go to his New York hotel suite to listen to election returns.
35 seats at stake in Upper House
New York (UP) –
Voters tomorrow will elect 35 Senators who can play major roles in determining the degree of U.S. participation in a world security organization.
Of major concern, also, particularly for Republicans, but of primarily domestic significance, will be the 31 state governorships at stake.
Popular interest focuses on the presidential and vice-presidential races, but the treaty-making (and thus, the peacemaking) function of the Upper House of Congress endows the senatorial election with virtual equality as an event of historical importance. The Dumbarton Oaks plans are already being debated.
Actually, 36 Senators will be elected, but one will be for a term expiring next January – that of the late Sen. Frederick Van Nuys (D-IN).
Mathematically possible, but politically doubtful, is the chance that the Republican Party might gain formal control of the Senate. Most political experts, however, look for a total Republican addition of five – or, at best, six – seats to the party’s current 38.
Depending on the outcome of the presidential campaign, Republican strength can be more than that, and for this reason, peacemakers attach primary significance to Election Day. If President Roosevelt gets his fourth term, observers predict Republicans will have support on the greatest issues – such as peace plans – from anti-Roosevelt Southern Democrats. But whether this support could be counted on in the event of a Dewey victory is not at all certain. Election of a Republican President might destroy the working alliance between Southern Democrats and Republicans which has opposed administration measures during the past two years.
Seventeen senatorial contenders are expected to have little opposition in winning reelection, either because they come from states which are traditionally Democratic or Republican, or because they are personally popular enough to overcome partisan prejudices.
Saltonstall popular
Governor Leverett Saltonstall, Massachusetts Republican, is so popular personally that all polls concede his overwhelming election to the Senate regardless of whether Governor Dewey or President Roosevelt carries the state in the presidential contest.
A total of 15 senatorial contests are in the doubtful column, among them being Connecticut, where incumbent Republican John A. Danaher is receiving stiff competition from Democratic Brien McMahon; California, where Democratic Senator Sheridan Downey is up against Republican Lieutenant Governor Frederick F. Houser; Illinois, where Democratic Senator Scott W. Lucas is opposed by Republican Richard J. Lyons, and New York, where veteran Democratic Senator Robert F. Wagner, is running against Republican Secretary of State Thomas J. Curran.
Nye in three-way fight
A stiff contest is also underway in North Dakota, where isolationist Republican Senator Gerald P. Nye is in a three-way race with Democratic Governor John Moses and Independent Lynn U. Stambaugh.
In the border state of Kentucky, Democratic Senate Majority Leader Alben W. Barkley is battling a popular Republican, James Park. Kentucky went Republican for the governorship in 1942, and most soundings indicate that the Senator is having a tough battle.
Senator Robert A. Taft (R-OH), although believed by most observers to be safe for reelection, is meeting bitter opposition from CIO and other liberal groups on the basis of his pre-war foreign policy voting record.
Dewey predicts Congress control
New York (UP) –
Republican hopes of capturing a majority of House seats appeared brighter today than at any time since the GOP lost control of the House after the 1930 election as then-President Herbert Hoover was starting his last two years in office.
Neither party has an absolute majority as of today.
Republican National Chairman Herbert Brownell has predicted that tomorrow’s young will swell the GOP’s present total of 210 to a majority of the 435 seats.
In that event, Republicans would organize the House, heading up the committees and electing Rep. Joseph W. Martin Jr. (R-MA), now Minority Leader, as Speaker to succeed Sam Rayburn (D-TX).
During last week’s campaign swing through Massachusetts, Republican presidential nominee Thomas E. Dewey repeatedly referred to Mr. Martin as “the next Speaker of the House of Representatives.”
Democrats confident
Democrats, however, have insisted not only that they will not lose any of their 214 present members but will add to their total.
A bare majority requires 218 seats.
The voters will elect 432 representatives tomorrow, Maine having picked three Republican members in September. With these three, the GOP has eight sure House members for the next two years before the polls open, five of the party’s candidates being unopposed
Similarly, the Democrats are sure of 51, including Speaker Rayburn, four seats in California, Louisiana’s eight, one in New York and others scattered through the Southern states.
Dies, aides out
Prominent members certain not to be among those present in the new House include Chairman Martin Dies (D-TX) of the House Committee Investigating Un-American Activities, and Reps. John Costello (D-CA) and Joe Starnes (D-AL), members of the Dies Committee.
They were strongly opposed in pre-primary campaigns by the CIO Political Action Committee. Mr. Dies did not seek renomination, the selection going to J. M. Combs. Mr. Costello and Mr. Starnes were defeated. The latter will be succeeded by Albert Rains (D-AL), Hal Styles, who defeated Mr. Costello in the California primary, is opposed for election by Republican Gordon L. McDonough.
Two races in which more than passing general interest has been manifest involved two prominent pre-war isolationists, Rep. Hamilton Fish (R-NY) and Rep. Stephen A. Day (R-IL).
Glamor in race
Each party is running a “Glamor Girl.” Rep. Clare Boothe Luce, (R-CT), ending her first term, is seeking reelection against the opposition of Democrat Margaret E. Connors and Socialist Stanley W. Mayhew.
Helen Gahagan Douglas (D-CA) is running against William D. Campbell. Mrs. Douglas, a former actress, is the wife of screen actor Melvyn Douglas.
25 women seek seats in Congress
Clare Boothe Luce headlines fight
New York (UP) –
More than 25 women contestants are entered in tomorrow’s election contest for House seats while another is seeking the governorship in Michigan.
The most interest centers in the fight of Rep. Clare Boothe Luce (R-CT) to retain her seat from the state’s 4th Congressional district. She is opposed by Margaret E. Connors, a Democrat.
In California, Helen Gahagan Douglas, wife of movie actor Melvyn Douglas, is running against Republican William D. Campbell for the 14th Congressional seat of Democrat Thomas F. Ford, retired.
Rep. Stephen A. Day (R-IL) has been campaigning against two women seeking to unseat him – Emily Taft Douglas, a Democrat, and Elizabeth S. Carr, Prohibition Party candidate.
Five up for reelection
Mrs. Luce is one of five women, up for reelection. A sixth, Republican Margaret C. Smith, was returned as Maine’s representative from the 2nd district in the state’s election in September. The others are:
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Republican Rep. Jessie Sumner opposed by Democrat Carl B. Jewell in the 18th Illinois district.
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Republican Rep. Edith Nourse Rogers, representing the 5th district in Massachusetts, opposed by Democrat Milton A. Wesson.
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Democratic Rep. Mary T. Norton, opposed in New Jersey’s 13th district by Republican Frank J. V. Ginimo and William S. Dowd, running as a “victory without hate” candidate.
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Republican Rep. Frances P. Bolton is opposed by Democrat Don O. Cameron in Ohio’s 22nd district.
Woman is Socialist candidate
Most of the other women contestants are running on minor party tickets.
Katherine Odell, Socialist Party candidate, has entered Michigan’s gubernatorial race but it expected to end up third behind Republican Governor Harry F. Kelly and Edward J. Fry, a Democrat.
Ban on Dr. Poling laid to politics
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (UP) –
Dr. Daniel A. Poling, president of the World’s Christian Endeavor who announced Friday that he would support the reelection of President Roosevelt, yesterday was barred from the pulpit of a suburban church where he was scheduled to make a religious talk,
Rev. Franklin Duncombe, pastor of Bala-Cynwyd Methodist Church and pastoral counsellor of the State Christian Endeavor Society, said the talk had been cancelled because he “didn’t want to bring partisan politics into my church.”
In reply, Dr. Poling said he questioned the “fair play” of the cancellation, and added:
Personally, this is a small price to pay for freedom when so many are dying for it. I never carry partisan politics or candidates into the pulpit. When, as a citizen, I must speak on such matters, I rent a hall or go on the air.
GOP speakers ‘lie,’ Murray asserts
Buffalo, New York (UP) –
CIO President Philip Murray charged last might that the Republican presidential campaign for Governor Thomas E. Dewey has “sunk to the veritable pits of complete degradation to get votes” and asserted “that sort of campaign bespeaks disaster.”
In a speech before 1,800 persons in a CIO-sponsored rally here, Mr. Murray accused the Republican National Committee of resorting to “lies that have emanated from the mouths of men who knew they were lying.”
He declared the CIO had been “subjected to the castigation of Dewey” as a subversive organization “bent on overthrow of our government” when “every high school student knows” its membership, which he said was 6,250,000 persons, was “a cross-section of the American people.”
It’s Dewey easy, reveals Emil Hurja
Analyst has picked 5 of 6 elections right
By Scripps-Howard Service
Washington (UP) –
Along about election time, ever since 1932 up pops Emil Hurja, the big chart and graph man, with a forecast.
This time, Mr. Hurja says it’s Governor Dewey with 364 electoral votes. That would leave Mr. Roosevelt with a puny 167.
Mr. Hurja, who used to do the analyzing for the Democratic Party in the Jim Farley days, correctly forecast the 1932 and 1936 presidential races, and the 1934, 1938 and 1942 Congressional elections.
*Fell flat on Willkie
But there are some not above recalling that he foresaw a victory for the late Wendell Willkie in 1940; he said it would be Mr. Willkie by 353–178. The voters pulled the rug from under Mr. Hurja that time; the vote was Mr. Willkie 82, and Mr. Roosevelt 449.
Mr. Hurja laughs that off by telling a story about an old woman in Oklahoma who had a reputation as a weather prophet. Once she forecast snow for Muskogee on Aug. 15. When it didn’t snow, people asked her why she had made such a prediction, Mr. Hurja recounts.
“Well,” said the old lady, “think of the reputation I would have had if it had snowed.”
28 counties sampled
Mr. Hurja’s current method of arriving at a forecast consists of polling 28 counties (out of the country’s 3,069) which have perfect records on presidential elections for 11 consecutive times – since 1900.
If his poll of these counties is correct, Mr. Hurja contends, Governor Dewey should win by at least two million majority.
The poll indicates that Republicans have enjoyed a 7.1 percent increase in popularity since 1940, Mr. Hurja estimated.
This “key” counties include: Pennsylvania, Fayette; Maryland, Frederick and Washington; West Virginia, Berkeley, Marion and Wood; Indiana, Gibson and Vanderburgh; Ohio, Belmont and Ross; California, San Joaquin and Sutter.
Jack of all jobs
Mr. Hurja, son of Finnish immigrants, left his home in Michigan at 16, knocked around Alaska a few years, mining and reporting on a Fairbanks newspaper; worked his way through the University of Washington and was the university’s representative on the Ford peace ship; studied the oil industry and edited a small paper in Texas; then took his oil knowledge to New York where he opened an office as a mining analyst. As it turned out, the depression ended the enterprise and he turned to politics.
Mr. Hurja in 1932 convinced Frank Walker, one of the Democratic Party’s “angels,” that he could forecast accurately vote trends by a sampling process, similar to that used to test a mine’s potentialities.
Only three states wrong
That year, he hit the election result practically on the nose. He said the Democrats would get a plurality of 7,500,000. They got 7,200,000. He was wrong on only three states. Thereafter, election after election, he enhanced his reputation – until 1940 when he fell on his face.
But he got up, grinned, and now he’s adding up numbers again and coming out with answers and forecasts. To fill in the time between elections, Mr. Hurja is associate publisher of Pathfinder Magazine.
Roosevelt leads in Fortune poll
New York (UP) –
Fortune Magazine said today that its final public opinion survey on the presidential election showed that between five and seven and one-half percent of those polled are still undecided on how they will vote.
The magazine reported that, among those with definite opinions, President Roosevelt still held a 50.5 percent preference in the poll, with 43.8 percent of the participants favoring Governor Thomas E. Dewey.
The Republican nominee’s lead was increased slightly in the tally of a secret ballot used in addition to the regular questionnaire, the magazine said.
Disunity charge hurled by Ickes
Milwaukee, Wisconsin (UP) –
Secretary of the Interior Harold L. Ickes asserted last night that Governor Thomas E. Dewey, Republican presidential candidate, was engaged in a campaign of “incitation to disunity” which would make international arrangements for world peace “impossible” if he were elected President.
In a speech at the Milwaukee Auditorium, Mr. Ickes accused Governor Dewey of refusing to meet the “great issues of the campaign,” and of “singing a hymn of hate against President Roosevelt.”
Charges hatreds aroused
Mr. Ickes said:
In a desperate, last-minute effort to convince the American people that they should change from experienced leadership to inexperienced. Mr. Dewey has launched a campaign of lies and vilifications which must bring joy to the hearts of every Nazi and Fascist and of their followers in this country.
He said Governor Dewey and his running mate for Vice President, Governor John Bricker of Ohio, were “arousing hatred of foreign-born Americans,” and they could not “be expected to arrange for a lasting peace with foreign-born foreigners.”
Support of isolationists charged
Charging that Governor Dewey owed his nomination “to the very same men who supported President Harding and for whose gratification he killed the League of Nations,” Mr. Ickes said the voters have no reason to believe in Governor Dewey’s “profession of devotion to an effective international organization.”
Mr. Ickes said Governor Dewey was also making it impossible to carry out his pledge for an effective peace because of “his support of candidates for the Senate who are bitterly opposed to any sort of international understanding.”
Educator sounds peace warning
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Railroad to post election bulletins
New York (UP) –
The New York Central Railroad announced today that bulletins on the presidential election returns will be posted in lounge and observation cars of its principal trains from 7:15 p.m. to 1:30 a.m. EWT Election Day.
The company stated that the bulletins, sent over its own wires from New York, will be received at various stations throughout the system. In addition, radio service will be available in the cars.
Roosevelt to win, London papers say
London, England (UP) –
The London press played up American election news today, most papers stressing betting odds and forecasts predicting a Roosevelt victory.
The Daily Mail carried a headline saying: “FDR Will Win, Say 56 Experts.” The News-Chronicle said: “Odds are now three to one on Roosevelt.”
The Daily Express carried the headline: “Moscow: FDR Is Sure to Win,” based on the Moscow press analysis of the American election.
Simms: Russian stand called big question mark in post-war cooperation
Soviet Union may collaborate if she gets chain of ‘friendly’ nations along border
By William Philip Simms, Scripps-Howard foreign editor
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Gorrell: Yanks will drive to Cologne by Christmas, but not farther
Germans will continue fanatical defense of Fatherland unless Russians smash through
By Henry T. Gorrell, United Press staff writer
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