Labor’s appeal meets rebuff
President views AFL-CIO report as one-sided
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Union defies law, refuses dues report
Alabama plans showdown Monday on new state order
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President views AFL-CIO report as one-sided
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Alabama plans showdown Monday on new state order
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Maj. Bryan tells of anxious time on Tehran trip
By Justin D. Bowersock
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Report charges Axis agents transmitted vital data on U.S. to Berlin
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Witness said to have told friends that young society woman attacked husband first
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Just lie and wait for end, prisoners from Rome beachhead say
By Walter Logan, United Press staff writer
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But promises U.S. will make every effort to guarantee rights of small nations
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Production foundry employees go on strike after nine men are suspended for production lag
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**Present free advertising system holds budget to moderate $14-million outlay yearly
By Robert Taylor, Press Washington correspondent
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Coast-to-coast survey shows two parties are evenly matched in voting strength among civilians
By George Gallup, Director, American Institute of Public Opinion
A higher percentage of voters today wants the Republicans to win the coming presidential election than at any time since the 1940 election.
The basic strength of the two parties today, as measured in terms of the number of voters who want to see the Democrats win as opposed to the number who want to see the GOP win, divides as follows:
Want to see Democrats win | 51% |
Want to see Republicans win | 49% |
Although these figures show the Democrats with a slight lead, normally the Democrats have to have more than this – usually more than 52% of the popular vote – to have a majority of the electoral votes.
Moreover, the real battleground of the election campaign will be in the 37 states outside the solidly Democratic South. In the area comprising these 37 states, the latest Institute survey shows the situation as follows:
Want to see Democrats win | 48% |
Want to see Republicans win | 52% |
Obviously, the candidates selected by the Republican and Democratic conventions, as well as war events of the next few months, will have an important influence upon the outcome of the presidential election. Nonetheless, party strength, as measured in the present survey, provides a useful chart of political tides at this time.
1940 pre-election survey
This is convincingly borne out by an Institute survey made four years ago at the same period before the nominating conventions of 1940. In its March 3, 1940, release, the Institute reported Democratic Party strength at 55%, GOP strength at 45%. It will be recalled that Mr. Roosevelt polled 55% of the total vote in the fall elections, to 45% for Mr. Willkie.
Analysis of the figures section by section reveals, moreover, that only the New England states changed in sentiment by more than two percentage points from these March figures. It is unlikely that 1944 will see a repetition of this situation, with so little net change during the eight months of the pre-convention and campaign period.
Today’s figures are based upon an estimated civilian vote in the coming election of 40 million. In the Congressional elections of 1942, the Republicans received 52% of the major party vote. But only 28 million persons voted in these elections. Today’s figures include not only a full representation of these people who voted in 1942, but also a proper representation of the people who vote only in presidential years.
When today’s results are analyzed by geographical areas, the Democrats have an advantage in three – New England states, Mid-Atlantic states, and Southern states. Republicans are ahead in four areas – East Central states, West Central states, Rocky Mountain states, and the Pacific Coast. This is shown in the following tables:
TODAY’S SURVEY
Democratic | Republican | |
---|---|---|
New England | 52% | 48% |
Mid-Atlantic | 53% | 47% |
East Central | 45% | 55% |
West Central | 42% | 58% |
South | 71% | 29% |
Mountain | 48% | 52% |
Pacific | 49% | 51% |
1940 ELECTION
Democratic | Republican | |
---|---|---|
New England | 53% | 47% |
Mid-Atlantic | 53% | 47% |
East Central | 51% | 49% |
West Central | 49% | 51% |
South | 73% | 27% |
Mountain | 56% | 44% |
Pacific | 58% | 42% |
MARCH 1940
Democratic | Republican | |
---|---|---|
New England | 45% | 53% |
Mid-Atlantic | 53% | 47% |
East Central | 49% | 51% |
West Central | 51% | 49% |
South | 75% | 25% |
Mountain | 59% | 41% |
Pacific | 59% | 41% |
An interesting sidelight is that the loss of strength by the Democrats is progressively greater moving from the East Coast to the West Coast. In the New England and Mid-Atlantic regions, Democratic strength remains about the same as it was in 1940. In the East Central states, the Democrats have lost six percentage points; in the West Central, seven; in the Rocky Mountain area, eight; and on the Pacific Coast, nine.
Senator George: Question is whether U.S.’ economic destiny is to be settled by President or Congress
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Backpay and pension may be given them, as well as insurance benefits; recipients are specified
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Congress may intervene in plans for $165-million project
By Marshall McNeil, Scripps-Howard staff writer
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Invitation to affair in Washington’s Mayflower Hotel believed to be first of its kind
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Electrification head charges White House aides want him to quit
By Jay G. Hayden, North American Newspaper Alliance
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