Y2K 25th anniversary

1/1/00: A peaceful party –
Brisk race in the park at the midnight hour

By Douglas Martin

Some came in tuxedos, others dressed as dragons, Santa Claus or Father Time. There were butterflies, famous buildings, and – for reasons not entirely obvious – make-believe waiters. They came to the annual Midnight Run at Central Park to race, jog and, in some cases, stumble into a new year.

“What a wonderful thing to tell your great-grandchildren years from now,” said Ann Buttenwieser, who indulged in Chinese food and caviar in a Fifth Avenue apartment before the five kilometers she was to run. “A little bit of nuttiness never hurts.”

Amanda Estrine, a Barnard College student, said, “My dad told me they give free Champagne while you run.”

Her father had been right, but the Champagne was the nonalcoholic variety.

The run, first organized in 1979, was the centerpiece of Central Park’s New Year’s Eve celebration, which spilled northward.

For New Year’s Eve and its transformation into New Year’s Day, there was skating at Wolman Rink, a $999 dinner at Tavern on the Green and fireworks at midnight. The fireworks signaled the start of the five-kilometer race through the park. As the sky lighted up, 7,500 runners lurched into motion, and the crowd sang Auld Lang Syne. The fireworks lasted for about 14 minutes; in that time, the fastest runners could begin and finish the run.

Mike Kennedy, an artist sitting by the pond at Fifth Avenue and Central Park South, said he felt the park’s peculiar tugs of time. Changes had spun wildly onward, he said: the jet airplane, television. “Things just got faster and faster,” he said.

“The only problem is I don’t have the viability to celebrate,” said Mr. Kennedy, 57. “When you’re 20, you can celebrate, but you don’t understand what any of the fuss is about. But when you’re older and having more than two beers and a hot dog, it’ll kill you.”

1/1/00: A peaceful party –
Local babies: Cigar, but not close

The title of first American baby of the millennium had not been officially decided shortly after midnight today, but locally, a brand new Queens native is making her bid.

The girl, 7 pounds 8 ounces, was born two seconds after midnight at Elmhurst Hospital Center in Queens, said Dario Centorcelli, a hospital spokesman. He did not know the girl’s name.

In Hartford, Miesha Latoya Walker, 7 pounds 13 ounces, was born at Hartford Hospital just 30 seconds into the year, The Associated Press reported. Her mother is Yvette Walker, 34, of Hartford.

Dr. Catie Campbell told the A.P. the mother was ready to deliver before midnight, but decided to wait until the new year had arrived.

The President’s Council on Y2K Conversion, however, announced yesterday that the first baby born on American soil in the Year 2000 was born in Guam, on the far side of the international dateline. The baby, a boy, weighed 7.7 pounds, the A.P. reported.

The first baby and family stand to collect countless prizes, including, among other things, a Texas college education, provided by the Houston radio station KHMX.

1/1/00: A peaceful party –
A vigilant army of officers encounters few problems

By John Kifner

Saddling up all its horses, putting all its helicopters in the air and sending nearly all its officers out on the street in uniform, the New York Police Department yesterday mounted one of its largest security operations ever – three years in the planning and costing $6 million – and by early this morning it appeared to have paid off with a genial and almost uneventful New Year’s Eve.

Some 8,000 police officers blanketed Times Square alone – a force larger than that of most of the country’s municipal police departments – for the most famous and symbolic gathering. But the police also had to cover 328 other officially scheduled celebrations in all five boroughs, including a gathering of tens of thousands of people at Grand Army Plaza in Brooklyn.

But for the most part, the officers massed around Times Square were able to lean casually against the blue sawhorse barricades and the newer interlocking metal crowd control fences and chat casually with the celebrators.

While the police had been bracing for a possible terrorist attack or disaster caused by computer failures like a breakdown of the electric system, the midnight hour, complete with the dropping of the Waterford crystal ball at Times Square, passed without serious incident.

By 12:30, only a half-dozen arrests had been reported in the Times Square area, mostly for drunken scuffles with the police, and most of these seemed more ludicrous than menacing.

Still, the police were edgy and vigilent, rushing up whenever they spotted a suspicious-looking bundle or unattended backpack. At one point last night they seized a man with a gas mask on his belt, but released him when he turned out to be on active duty with the military.

Police detectives assigned to the Times Square detail were in the Real Park garage at 259 West 53rd Street when they saw a man, later identified as George James, walking around with handcuffs.

A search of his van, which appeared dirty, lived-in and littered with pornographic magazines, turned up a loaded shotgun. Although he protested he was carrying the shotgun for his own protection, Mr. James, 29, of Saginaw, Mich., was charged with several counts of illegal possession of a weapon. He appeared to be the closest approximation to a threat uncovered last night.

In all, 37,000 police officers were on duty over New Year’s Eve and into the morning of January 1. Days off were canceled, and detectives and others who normally work in plain clothes were put back onto the street in uniforms. All six police helicopters circled over the city, and all 102 horses in the mounted unit were saddled up.

Mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani said the crowd in Times Square was close to twice the size of last year, when it was estimated that a million people had congregated there.

At midafternoon, as tens of thousands of early arrivals poured into the area, the police constantly adjusted their barricades, creating a series of frozen zones from 43rd Street north along the legs of Broadway and Seventh Avenue as far as 59th Street.

Some 700 undercover officers mingled with the crowd, on the lookout for troublemakers or possible terrorists. Bomb-sniffing dogs searched for explosives. As in past years, police officers confiscated any alcoholic beverages they found, a measure that officials say has cut disorderly conduct during the once-rowdy celebration to negligible levels.

Much of the concern in recent days had been over the possibility of a terrorist attack. In the Times Square area, manholes were welded shut, steel trash cans removed and mailboxes locked. Cars entering garages in the area over the past few days were searched as a condition of parking. There were also spot searches of cars entering the city through the tunnels.

Concerns over terrorism mounted sharply on Thursday with the arrest in Brooklyn of a 31-year-old Algerian, Abdel Ghani, who, the Federal Bureau of Investigation charged, was an accomplice of Ahmed Ressam, the Algerian charged with trying to smuggle powerful explosives and four sophisticated timing devices across the border near Seattle in mid-December.

Even as a black-clad anti-terrorist task force stormed the shabby Brooklyn apartment block where it had tracked Mr. Ghani by a scrap of paper with his phone number found on Mr. Ressam, federal agents in a half-dozen other cities questioned, and in some cases detained, people they believed had some connection to Mr. Ressam. But Mayor Giuliani, Police Commissioner Howard Safir and F.B.I. officials here and in Washington said they had no specific knowledge of any terrorist plot aimed at New York City.

The Police Department plan, code-named Archangel, was three years in the making. It put the department on its highest alert and included detailed methods for responding to and investigating terrorist acts, including biological and chemical assaults.

In addition to the threat of terrorism, the police had been prepared for power failures or other problems that might be caused by computer failures associated with the Year 2000 problems. None were reported.

Special emergency teams were stationed in each borough with trucks equipped with banks of lights, generators and special tools in case anyone was trapped in an elevator in the event of a power failure.

The Police Department bought large amounts of equipment to prepare for New Year’s Eve, including extra lighting trucks for working in the dark, and about $65,000 worth of interlocking metal barricades for crowd control. Each precinct was equipped with portable electric generators. An extra three-month supply of flashlights and batteries was stashed away, and individual officers were even issued chemical illumination sticks that light up when twisted.

1/1/00: A city celebrates –
Brooklyn throws a party just for the locals

By David Barstow

“Gee, I guess we’re the first,” said Karen Minott, a Brooklyn resident who showed up at Grand Army Plaza about 5 p.m. with her cousin and a friend.

Ms. Minott cradled her sleeping 18-month-old daughter and looked about with that slightly embarrassed look people get when they suddenly realize they’re early for a party. “Where is everybody?” she asked.

In recent weeks several news organizations reported that as many as one million people might attend the Brooklyn celebration. But that estimate stemmed from a hyperbolic boast made at a press conference by Charles J. Hamm, the chairman and chief operating officer of Independence Community Bank and a chairman of Brooklyn 2000, the week of events that culminated with New Year’s Eve.

For most of the evening, the crowd was sparse, perhaps a few thousand people. But after 11 p.m., the crowd grew rapidly, to some 20,000 people, according to police estimates.

Tupper Thomas, the cheerful impresario of the New Year’s Eve celebration in Brooklyn, had not been concerned with size: Let the tourists and Peter Jennings have Times Square, she said with typical Brooklyn moxie. This, she said, was a modest millennium bash for “true” New Yorkers – just a “really great shoot-‘em-up” for hardy Brooklynites who traditionally come to Prospect Park each New Year’s Eve for a few friendly minutes of fireworks.

“This is the real thing,” said Ms. Thomas, president of the Prospect Park Alliance. “We’re not trying to get the tourists. We’re just trying to get people from Brooklyn.”

Still, Mr. Hamm’s bit of exaggeration led to some awkward moments. Throughout the afternoon, dozens of people wandered toward the stage looking a bit confused. Several said they had come early thinking it was the only way to get a good seat, or expecting to see a scene rivaling the nonstop entertainment and confetti showers of Times Square. Instead, they saw stacks of barricades and a few technicians. The entertainment did not begin until 10 p.m.

Indeed, many of those who attended last night’s celebration said that they came because wanted a little pomp without the circumstance of Times Square. “I love it,” said Orit Friedman, a physician from Brooklyn. “It is Times Square without the fear of 2.5 million people.”

As the countdown began - some 22 seconds behind the Times Square countdown - the crowd chanted along, dancing and swaying. “I didn’t expect a big crowd,” said Julie M. Ostrowski, 27, a copy editor for Newsday who lives in Park Slope. “But I’m happy I’m surrounded by a lot of people I like.”

Ms. Thomas was asked whether the arrest in Brooklyn on Thursday of an Algerian man accused of participating in a sophisticated terrorism plot might scare families away. She smiled and shook her head. “We’ve got great cops,” she said. “People are doing what they’re supposed to be do. I’m not giving in to this, and that’s always been the Brooklyn way. We are not about to let something like that affect us.”

This stubbornly proud, slightly quirky, thoroughly Brooklyn ethic was evident in all aspects of yesterday’s festivities, which were centered around the massive arched monument to the Union army looming at the entrance to Prospect Park. Forget celebrity entertainers, clouds of confetti, a dropping crystal ball. The Brooklyn party featured a fire eater from Coney Island and Albert Sanchez, a large man who sings in tight dresses.

“He’s got a new gown made for tonight,” said Carolyn Greer, producer of the event. “We’re a hard working borough and we have a hard working stage,” she added. “We don’t have the big celebrities.”

The fireworks, however, were a special point of pride. Ms. Thomas, who began organizing New Year’s Eve fireworks displays in Prospect Park 25 years ago, said most years the shows were supposed to last about five minutes – although, she said, “the fireworks guy would always throw in a few extra minutes.” But this year, thanks to generous contributions from several corporations and city taxpayers, there was a 15-minute display, with the same rockets fired at the same time from two locations.

“All of it double!” said Ms. Thomas. Take that Times Square.

1/1/00: A city celebrates –
At planetarium, the fanciest ball is inside the cosmic one

By Glenn Collins

It was, at very long last, the night to party until it wasn’t 1999. And then? It was time to party some more.

And so, more than 1,700 revelers were lured to the bash that New Yorkers couldn’t not go to. Overcoming false alarms warning of Scud missiles, millennial Manhattan-phobia and the urge to cocoon, they flocked to Central Park West last night to be the first to see the American Museum of Natural History’s new $210 million planetarium.

Paying $500 to $5,000 per head, the party-hearty hedonists greeted the new millennium at the museum’s black-tie fund-raiser, the city’s most expensive, must-go, exclusive New Year’s celebration. It sold out in July.

After a banquet under the museum’s 94-foot blue whale (where guests made fin-de-siecle jokes) they shouted the midnight countdown in the zeppelin-hangar-sized atrium of the new Rose Center for Earth and Space, the glass-walled building enclosing the rebuilt Hayden Planetarium. Along the way, they became the first to watch a preview of the sky show presented by the new $3.5 million Zeiss star projector.

Thanks to the occasion, the new building – a titanic cube surrounding the 87-foot-wide sphere of the planetarium – was transformed into a cavernous four-level party space that resembled the launch pad of a globe-shaped starship.

The construction of the Rose Center at the dawn of the new millennium was “a happy accident of timing,” said Ellen V. Futter, president of the museum.

But given the general level of millennial anxiety, some guests made uneasy jokes about freezing in the post-midnight dark. Others were positively cheeky about the possibility for disaster.

“Any evildoers would be vaporized if they dared come near New York’s new planetarium,” said one guest, City Councilman Stanley E. Michels of Manhattan, there with his wife, Molly. “We’re so excited to be among the first to see the Zeiss.”

Henry Stern, the city’s parks and recreation commissioner, said, “Clearly, this is the party of the millennium,” as he tucked into the rack of lamb in the Hall of Ocean Life adjacent to the planetarium.

The party favors said it all: Each visitor received a disposable flash camera to record the millennial moment, and a flashlight. They were relieved that their flashlights became party props and not disaster gear.

Outside the glass cube, Broadway theaters were dark, many restaurants were shuttered and a planned extravaganza at the Jacob K. Javits Convention Center had gone belly up. Nevertheless, the city was alive with parties, including a catered bunker blast for crisis managers and a 10-course blowout at Chanterelle, where 65 guests spent as much as $2,400 per person to consume oysters with caviar and Maine scallops with black truffles.

The wanna-go party for many elegant 10021-ers and international visitors was the black-tie celebration for 200 at the Carlyle Hotel on East 76th Street and Madison Avenue.

There, Bobby Short and Eartha Kitt raised their voices in a conspiracy to launch cafe society into the 21st century.

“I’m Y2K-compliant,” said Mr. Short, who was holding forth before elegant admirers in the Cafe Carlyle for the 32nd straight New Year’s Eve. “And I’d like everyone to know that I’ll be performing at the real millennium next year.”

And though Christmas was last week’s extravaganza, Miss Kitt won applause for belting out a torrid version of her signature song, “Santa Baby.” “I think the millennium is looking a lot like Christmas,” she purred.

But hands down, the spaciest event of the evening was the museum celebration, where guests clutched Champagne glasses beside the 15-ton Willamette Meteorite in the atrium and then consumed Pink Nebula martinis to the strains of “Stardust.” They were serenaded by theramin music as they strolled along a black-lighted “cosmic pathway” to dinner, where their tables featured silver-orb centerpieces.

Throughout the evening, groups of awed millennialists were beamed up by Lunar Lift elevators – their actual name – to the 436-seat Space Theater in the planetarium.

There, they were introduced to the only Zeiss Mark IX projector in the world. Leaning back on upholstered headrests under the 38-foot-high dome, they oohed at the high-intensity, 9,100-star star field and aahed at Orion and other constellations.

Then, crick-necked and happy, they were introduced to the planetarium’s $4 million digital dome system. Driven by a bank of supercomputers, it is the world’s largest reality simulator, transporting visitors on an astronomically accurate, five-billion-light-year tour of cosmic superclusters where galaxies seemed like grains of dust.

“No audiences have ever seen these images before,” said James S. Sweitzer, director of special projects for the planetarium. And the rest of the public will have to wait until mid-February, when the nearly finished Rose Center officially opens.

“The millennium was certainly a construction deadline none of us could forget,” said James A. Schmidt, executive director of the Rose Center construction project.

“The Zeiss show made my hair stand on end,” said one of the guests, Senator Charles Schumer, a Brooklyn Democrat. “This is the future, and the future is New York.”

Ann Druyan, who co-wrote the Zeiss show and is the widow of the astronomer Carl Sagan, said her late husband “would have loved this evening’s voyage, and he inspired it.”

Lieut. Col. Cady Coleman of the Air Force, an astronaut who has flown two space shuttle missions, said, “If there isn’t a place like this planetarium, kids won’t know where they live in the universe.”

During the party’s New Year’s countdown, which had a hint of a Cape Kennedy rocket launch about it, the guests craned their necks yet again: this time to see wire walker Philippe Petit as he teetered on a steel wire at the fulcrum of the millennium. On the stroke of midnight, 1,500 star-and-moon balloons dropped, the guests warbled “Auld Lang Syne” along with the Drifters, and the crowd created its own light show by firing off more than a thousand throwaway flash cameras.

The future-forward museum already boasts a welded stainless-steel time capsule designed to be opened in the year 3000. Was the scientific staff preparing for Y3K computer glitches? “An interesting challenge,” said Ms. Futter, the museum president. “I thought I’d start looking at that problem on January 2.”

1/1/00: A city celebrates –
Pub has eye on Dublin: 2 midnights in Queens

By C. J. Chivers

Sean Cunningham nodded to the television hanging above him in the smoky air of the Starting Gate Pub. It was 5 p.m. in Woodside, Queens, and, by Mr. Cunningham’s calculation, two hours to midnight.

The Starting Gate is a long way from County Limerick, Ireland, where Mr. Cunningham is from, and it’s a longer way still to the international date line, where the new year had begun rolling westward across the planet earlier in the day.

Mr. Cunningham and his cluster of immigrant friends were using the power of television to overcome the limits of geography and the slowness of the clock. Their math was a cinch. Midnight would come to Dublin at 7 p.m. in Eastern Standard Time, which meant that the patrons of the Starting Gate, who planned to celebrate simultaneously with their relatives overseas, had a head start on the New Year.

“Midnight in Dublin and we’ll be ready to go,” Mr. Cunningham said, glancing at the television, where he hoped to see a brief video feed from home. “Midnight in New York and we’ll do it again.”

This duplication of celebrations meant a big night for the Irish bars under the No. 7 train in Woodside. At the Starting Gate, a pub that a former construction worker, Dennis O’Sullivan, opened six years ago, the revelers came early and planned to stay late, working through wads of dollar bills as they emptied Mr. O’Sullivan’s extra stocks of cider, stout, ale and beer.

Midnight in Dublin, midnight in New York. The patrons were experiencing a millennial microcosm of the immigrant’s life, in which one eye is always on the homeland and the other on events in America. They said this made New Year’s Eve special because two celebrations meant that they had two chances to mull over matters large and small.

“I’d like to see peace in the North, and all over the world,” said Patrick Cotter, 36, from County Clare.

Up the bar from Mr. Cotter, matters were less serious, as resolutions, as familiar as they were impossible, were passed from person to person: no more drinking, no more smoking, no more falling in love.

“Everything dirty, I quit,” said Robby Sloane, 25, from County Armagh.

A few stools over, another patron trumped him, having found something even more difficult to do. “This year I’m going to win a million, or maybe half a million, whatever I can get,” said Jack Fitzgerald, 31, a carpenter who moved to New York from County Kerry 10 years ago.

Nearby sat John Heslin, a young man whose resolution was to swear off resolutions. He sat on his stool in a black leather jacket, wearing a gold Celtic cross. A quarter-size scar was visible through his thin hair. His goatee was slightly wet.

“I’m going to get absolutely crooked drunk,” he said. “And I won’t be able to tell what goes on for the rest of the year. What do I need a resolution for?”

At the far end of the bar, two immigrants from long ago – Martin McMorrow, 71, and Oliver Jake McMahon, 66 – watched the younger crowd. Both men came to America about 40 years ago. Both found careers at Con Edison.

Mr. McMorrow, from County Leitrim, looked up through rich blue eyes and said he was going to have a few more pints of stout and call it a night. He planned to make himself comfortable before the clock struck midnight in either Dublin or Times Square.

“I won’t even drink all of that,” he said, nodding toward the $14 sitting on the damp bar. “Pretty soon you’ll be seeing me make my way home.”

Mr. McMahon said the beginning of the 2000s would mean the end of some things, the beginning of others. Most of all, he said, he feared it spelled doom for the boilermaker, that once-upon-a-time standby of a shot of whiskey and a glass of beer.

“Times are changing,” he said. “Nowadays the boys all drink light beer.”

As if on cue, a few minutes later, a patron asked the bartender, Ciara Murphy, for one of those old-time specials. “A boilermaker?” she said. “What’s that?”

Seven o’clock in Dublin, the patrons said, the end of an era.

1/1/00: Technology and 2000 – Momentous relief:
Monitors of missiles at Year 2000 note relief

By Michael Janofsky

The new decade arrived well before dawn here today at Peterson Air Force Base, but there was more relief than celebration as the world’s 24 time zones began passing from the 20th century without nuclear conflagration.

In a collaboration that would have been inconceivable before the cold war ended a decade ago, American and Russian military personnel sat side by side inside an ad hoc Center for Y2K Strategic Stability, where they monitored data that would reflect any ballistic missile activity around the world.

As expected, there was none – at least none that the American and Russian authorities here would discuss. American officials confirmed that the North American Aerospace Defense Command, which is 13 miles from here inside Cheyenne Mountain, had detected launchings of three missiles but said the missiles’ inability to travel more than 500 kilometers, or 310 miles, made them irrelevant to operations here.

From the American perspective, any moments of real concern had passed by the turn of the year at Greenwich Mean Time, midnight in London. Every American missile system operates on Greenwich Mean Time, which means precise timing is imperative for encryption and other programs around the world.

But it also meant that the New Year had passed without incident through all 11 times zones of Russia, as well as through all of Asia, the Middle East and Europe.

The center is largely a public relations device, created in September so that each country could reassure the other that any missile launching was unintentional.

But nothing the American and Russian personnel monitored here was exclusive to them, anyway, making center operations largely redundant. Rather, they were watching data relayed instantaneously from Cheyenne Mountain, where the monitoring of missile activity around the world by American and Canadian personnel is continuous.

Nonetheless, American and Russian officials decided that, for good measure and good will, a special center could provide an added layer of assurance against the possibility of an accidental launching.

“The point of all this is additional insurance, No. 1,” said Capt. Michael W. Luginbuhl, a naval officer. “But also, there’s the world perception that the two greatest nuclear powers are coordinating and collaborating to go the extra step to make sure nothing goes wrong.”

As far as Russia and the United States were concerned, nothing was ever expected to go wrong. In any case, Captain Luginbuhl said that any launching required so much human intervention that even a “false indicator” from a computer would not likely send a missile skyward.

But as a further precaution, the center was equipped with direct telephone lines – to Cheyenne Mountain for the Americans, to Moscow for the Russians – to question any glitch, real or perceived. By tonight, the only abnormality occurred on Thursday, officials said, when the Russians used their “red phone” (which is actually black) to call home and the phone in Moscow did not ring. The problem was fixed momentarily after officers in Moscow discovered their phone had not been turned on.

1/1/00: Technology and 2000 – Momentous relief:
Internet’s cheering squad nervously watches clock

By Barnaby J. Feder

As the world slid nervously yesterday through the shadow of its first global technology challenge, many year 2000 experts took special comfort in the relatively stable behavior of one of their principal tools in dealing with the problem: the not-always-reliable Internet.

Service in the vast network of networks linking 60 million computers and more than 150 million users sagged at times in isolated sites as Internet users turned to e-mail messages, Web sites, newsgroups and electronic chat rooms to track the Year 2000’s arrival in more and more time zones.

But experts who mounted the most extensive effort ever to monitor the Internet’s global reliability said that the overall performance was impressive and crossed their fingers as the Internet headed into peak usage hours last night.

“We might look back on this as graduation day for the Internet,” said Michael L. Todd, a computer consultant in Irvine, Calif., who heads the Los Angeles chapter of the Internet Society, an international organization of Internet users and developers.

The sense that the Internet was facing a trial of sorts during the Year 2000 rollover had grown steadily in recent weeks. Some hospitals, government agencies and manufacturers decided to close World Wide Web sites or cut off e-mail messaging during the rollover after hearing predictions that hackers would be treating the year 2000 as an occasion to spread computer viruses.

And a poll last week by the Information Technology Association of America, done over the Internet, reported that technology managers viewed the Internet as more likely to be hit by problems than any other computer system or public utility.

But organizations monitoring performance yesterday said there were no signs yet of major problems. One broad measure of all equipment on the Internet, including local service providers and some customers, showed a slow decline in the percentage of sites reachable during the day on the Internet as a whole and the World Wide Web in particular, but that may have happened because some Internet users disconnected as a precautionary measure, said John S. Quarterman, chief executive of Matrix Information and Directory Services, which publishes Internet performance data.

Most users stayed wired, though, and the unsubstantiated computer rumors and anecdotes for which the Internet is infamous began flowing within hours of the arrival of January 1 in Asia. One breathless e-mail message, signed “familyman,” claimed that an I.B.M. emergency parts center (later said to be in Pennsylvania) was being swamped by orders from New Zealand and Australia. I.B.M. was scrambling to charter aircraft to meet the demand, it claimed. An hour later an I.B.M. spokesman in Japan issued a sharp denial.

But as they have regularly been doing with far less fanfare than Y2K activists, workers in the year 2000 project trenches also flocked to Internet yesterday. In the last five years, the Internet has emerged as a major vehicle for distribution of year 2000 reports and data within companies and government agencies, for regulators like the Food and Drug Administration, which used it to provide information on the Year 2000 readiness of medical equipment, and industry groups like Global 2000, a consortium of international banks that gathered and shared data on the readiness of foreign countries.

Computer companies like Hewlett-Packard and Microsoft have increasingly relied on the Internet to quickly and inexpensively distribute new versions of products or Year 2000 patches. Hewlett-Packard said its Web site listing technical data about the year 2000 status of its various products had received more than three million inquiries.

One boomlet of traffic yesterday involved a new report of a potential year 2000 problem for computers, traffic lights and military equipment that get radio broadcasts of the time and date from the government’s atomic clock in Fort Collins, Colo. Brett Glass, a computer consultant in Laramie, Wyo., had recently discovered that the government had never warned the public that some equipment linked by radio to the clock might need reprogramming or replacement to avoid mistaking today for January 1, 1900. (A government spokesman said last night that only a small number of machines running older DOS operating systems were vulnerable and that it had assumed users were aware of the problem.)

Mr. Glass’s work was relayed rapidly into computer circles mainly through David Farber, a University of Pennsylvania computer expert who has more than 20,000 people on his e-mail list. “There is no other way to instantaneously alert so many people of a potential problem,” said Mr. Farber.

Or to reassure them. The Australian government reported seven million visitors to its year 2000 site in a matter of hours yesterday, all of whom learned there were no major problems to report.

1/1/00: Technology and 2000 – Momentous relief:
Fear of computer glitch grounds thousands of air travelers

By Laurence Zuckerman

Airports around the world, ordinarily quiet on New Year’s Eve, were unusually so yesterday as thousands of potential travelers stayed put while the world’s air traffic system rolled over to the year 2000.

Yet, despite such fears and recent concerns about terrorism, commercial aviation entered the new year without incident as midnight arrived around the globe.

The major test for commercial aviation came at midnight in London when the global air traffic control system, which observes Greenwich Mean Time, crossed over into the new year without difficulty.

Worldwide, about 1,350 commercial jets were in the air at the time, according to the Air Transport Association, the airline industry’s trade group. That was less than half the number of planes that flew last New Year’s Eve, as airlines around the world canceled thousands of flights because of low demand.

United Airlines and American Airlines, the world’s two largest carriers, said they had canceled about one-third of their flights yesterday.

As a result, airports across the United States appeared desolate. The three New York airports – Kennedy International, La Guardia and Newark – were expecting to handle only 270,000 passengers yesterday, compared with 430,000 on the same day last year.

Many airline executives and aviation officials around the world had hoped to reassure the public by being passengers themselves on New Year’s Eve. Jane Garvey, chief of the Federal Aviation Administration, booked herself on several flights that were subsequently canceled.

Yesterday afternoon, flanked by the head of the F.A.A.’s year 2000 effort, two public affairs officers, Senator Slade Gorton of Washington and a score of journalists, Ms. Garvey boarded an American Airlines flight from Washington to Dallas.

With 100 empty seats available on the jetliner, one of a handful of passengers not directly connected to Ms. Garvey’s efforts was Janet S. Rhodes of Long Beach, Calif., who said she came to Washington yesterday so that she could greet the new millennium aloft and tell her grandchildren about it.

Ms. Rhodes said she had told her four sons, “Just follow Jane Garvey’s progress on television and you’ll know where I am.”

The world’s airlines and air traffic control centers spent an estimated $2.5 billion to assure that their computers could read the year 2000 correctly. But experts did not consider air safety to be particularly vulnerable.

The only glitch reported yesterday occurred when printers in Alaska, California and Long Island that are used to relay information to controllers from airplanes flying over the ocean all went on the blink at midnight Greenwich time. The failure lasted only about 30 minutes and had no operational effect, the F.A.A. said, adding that it was not even clear that the problem was caused by the date change.

Nevertheless, many passengers said they were not taking any chances by being in the air at the witching hour. “I think it will probably be O.K., but I’m trying to get home before midnight,” said Del Turner, who was waiting for a flight at Los Angeles International Airport. “Something will happen. They haven’t fixed everything.”

1/1/00: Technology and 2000 – Momentous relief:
Computers prevail in first hours of ‘00

By Steve Lohr

Despite a few sputters and glitches, the world’s computers appear to have survived the year 2000 rollover without major problems – and with humanity’s faith in technology intact, at least for another day.

As clocks passed midnight around the world, there were a flurry of reports of apparently minor problems: a timing device at a electric plant in Wisconsin jumped ahead 35 days, but it was quickly reset; a monitoring system at a Japanese nuclear plant malfunctioned, but it did not affect the operation of the reactor; in Australia, ticketing machines on some buses jammed.

The technology failures with greater impact were a result of crowding – circuits jammed when too many people tried to make cellular phone calls in Japan, New Zealand and elsewhere – instead of computer software that could not fathom the year 2000.

Yet the day arrived without the kind of catastrophic problems once feared, of widespread power failures or planes crashing. The computers of the United States power grid and air-traffic control system rolled over to the New Year just past 7 p.m. Eastern time, which is midnight Greenwich Mean Time, and things went without a hitch.

“I’ve never felt there was any significant chance the United States would have any problem in its infrastructure,” said John A. Koskinen, chairman of the President’s Council on Year 2000 Conversion. But he cautioned against complacency in the United States and around the world. “There are likely to be some glitches along the way,” he said.

The real test, experts say, will come in the days and weeks ahead as people return to work, as factories, offices and stores begin normal operations. “To look at midnight as the main event would be a mistake,” said David Cassano, general manager of I.B.M.’s year 2000 program. “We’ll really start to find out where we stand in the first weeks of January as businesses run their systems for the time.”

Still, expectations about the severity of the year 2000 problem have been scaled back sharply in recent months. The prospect of computer failures cascading destructively across the world economy was taken as a serious threat not long ago. But most analysts now regard such warnings as exaggerated.

Instead, computer specialists are now watching mainly for a rash of small, but fixable, glitches in computer programs related to the year 2000 problem. These problems, most analysts say, should amount to an economic headache, not a serious illness – though there are a few analysts who say that a recession early this year is still possible.

Yet around the world, fears about Y2K, as the computer problem is known, were the exception. As he withdrew a few hundred dollars from an automated teller machine in Rome yesterday, Federico Pacifici, 44, said: “I have faith in technology. I don’t think normal people will have any problem.”

In Japan, the reaction was not quite so relaxed, but there was no evidence of year 2000 panic. Strolling through Tokyo’s Ginza district last night, Masao Ito, 66, observed, “I was a bit worried about Y2K, but I didn’t think it would be a lasting problem, so I wasn’t terribly concerned.”

Japanese are accustomed to stockpiling basic goods as a precaution against earthquakes, and the government had recommended that citizens have extra goods on hand in case of year 2000 breakdowns. Masato Takahashi, a student, said he had put away enough water and food for a week. “I’m not expecting anything major,” he said. “I just thought there might be some problem.”

The isolated cases of panicky reactions may have had little to do with technology. In rural Thailand, for example, the government said farmers and villagers had been withdrawing cash from banks and clearing out food markets because of year 2000 fears. “It doesn’t make sense,” said Kitti Patpongpaibul, deputy governor of the Bank of Thailand. “Almost none of these people own credit cards or computers.”

Astrologers in the Thai countryside have apparently been spreading dire year 2000 predictions.

Globally, the more common sentiment seemed to be that of Spaniards. Surveys have found Spaniards largely unconcerned by the computer problem, known as “Effecto 2000” in Spain, and 90 percent said they had made no special preparations. “There’s been no panic buying,” said Carlos Lizana, the manager of a Supersol supermarket in Madrid.

If the economic fallout is minimal, it will be largely because many governments and corporations eventually listened to the dire warnings of year 2000 readiness advocates. And they invested more than $250 billion worldwide in finding and fixing the problem.

The United States government alone spent $8.4 billion to fix the glitches in the computers that handle everything from sending out Social Security checks to tracking airplanes with the Federal Aviation Administration’s air-traffic control system. The government’s efforts accelerated sharply after Mr. Koskinen became the head of the administration’s year 2000 program in February 1998.

Companies may have been slow to start – an estimated 90 percent of corporate fix-it spending has occurred since 1997 – but once they began, they invested heavily to tackle their year 2000 problems. Citigroup, for example, spent roughly $950 million to get its banks, securities trading desks and insurance operations ready for the Year 2000 rollover.

“There have been massive investments made to address the Y2K issue and those investments will mean that the most severe problems should be avoided,” said Lou Marcoccio, the year 2000 research director for the Gartner Group, a computer consulting and market research firm.

The year 2000 problem has proved so costly to try to fix because it has been a painstaking task for thousands of people worldwide, searching through billions of lines of programming code, much of it decades old. The problem dates back to the 1960s and before. Back then, storage space on disks was scarce and costly, so programmers routinely omitted the first two digits in year dates. The danger is that computers will fail to interpret the “00” date as 2000, and shut off or malfunction.

Around the world, the year 2000 rollover has meant that much of the computer industry is on around-the-clock duty, watching for problems and ready to fix ones that do crop up. It has been a quiet watch so far.

From her desk in Hewlett-Packard’s year 2000 center in Palo Alto, Calif., Kathy Hahn filed her first status report at 3:45 a.m. Like all the reports she has filed since, it was a green light: the company’s field office in Auckland, New Zealand, reported that there were no apparent problems plaguing the company’s computer systems at night.

For Ms. Hahn, director of Hewlett-Packard’s year 2000 planning, yesterday’s lack of problems were a rewarding finish to nearly three years of hard work in preparation. “It feels like I’ve been pregnant for two and a half years,” she said. “I’m feeling a great sense of relief.”

Edward Yardeni, a leading Wall Street economist, said it was much too early to relax about the year 2000 problem. Yet even he is revising his earlier dark warnings.

In the summer of 1997, Mr. Yardeni warned that the computer problem could be the catalyst for a recession as severe as the 1974-75 downturn in the aftermath of the first oil shock. But he has done some rethinking recently. “It’s certainly not going to be as bad as I thought it would be,” said Mr. Yardeni, chief economist of Deutsche Bank Securities.

Mr. Yardeni still thinks it is likely there will be a recession in the first half of 2000 but says it will be a brief, shallow economic dip.

Other analysts do not go that far, but they caution against being too encouraged by the first-day reports. “The real test is coming in the days and weeks ahead, and I think there is a good chance the world’s going to have a digital hangover for the three to six months,” said Gary Beach, publisher of CIO Magazine, who has testified before Congress on the year 2000 issue.

1/1/00: From Bali to Broadway –
A flittering party for Times Square

By Robert D. McFadden

Two thousand years after Christ’s obscure birth in a dusty town in Judea, the world’s six billion people – most of them non-Christian and many of them preoccupied with terrorism, computers, diets, bank accounts, politics and the perils of the future – rode their turning blue planet across time’s invisible line today and, by common consent, looked into the dawn of a new millennium.

What they saw first was a party. It was garish, glittering and global, and millions, setting religious considerations and personal concerns aside, joined in the festivities to celebrate the conjunction of a new year, a new century and a new thousand-year cycle of history. They also put aside the inconvenient fact that the millennium, technically, is still a year off. It hardly mattered. In Times Square and across the United States, in Europe, Asia, Africa and Australia, in cities and towns all over the world, bells pealed, crowds shrieked and surged, skyrockets soared into the night, fireworks burst into supernovas, “Auld Lang Syne” rang out, lights pulsed, loved ones and friends embraced, and the music and Champagne flowed.

On a rainbow day whose moods ran the spectrum from tensions and prayers to euphoria and irresistible hyperbole, what most were calling Christianity’s Third Millennium arrived in 24 stages as the earth revolved through the time zones and midnight elapsed again and again in an around-the-clock, around-the-world series of golden moments that began at the international date line in the Pacific and raced westward across Asia, Africa, Europe and the Americas.

In New York, a vast crowd of revelers – the guesses ran as high as an improbable two million – packed Times Square and much of Midtown Manhattan for the biggest public event ever held in the city – a 26-hour, $7 million marathon of music, fireworks, confetti and deafening voices as a 1,070-pound crystal ball descended at midnight and the crowds roared berserkly, while the police sweated out an enormous potential for trouble.

And there were lavish celebrations in Washington, London, Paris, Rome, Berlin, Jerusalem, Moscow, Cape Town, New Delhi, Shanghai, Beijing, Tokyo, Mexico City, Rio de Janeiro, Buenos Aires and hundreds of other cities. There were parties, concerts, dances, torchlight parades and televised extravaganzas that brought the worldwide show to billions more at home, and back to the crowds in Times Square over giant video screens – a case of celebrators watching celebrators.

To a Martian Earthwatcher (tuning in with delicate ear and Cyclopean eye), it might have appeared that the inhabitants of the third world from the Sun had suddenly lost their senses or gone to war again. But it was only humanity on the threshold of a new age, exercising its primal urge to celebrate.

There had been an avalanche of happy millennial overkill in recent days – claims of the last-game, last-meal, first-baby kind – and yesterday it was the turn of world leaders in government, religion, science and other fields, who spoke of the millennium’s meaning in more serious tones.

“Today, we celebrate more than the changing of the calendar,” President Clinton, extending millennium greetings to the world, said in an address to diplomats and children from 100 nations. “We celebrate the opportunity we have to make this a true changing of the times, a gateway to greater peace and freedom, to prosperity and harmony.”

In Moscow, Boris Yeltsin, who has been plagued with heart and other problems for most of his eight years as Russia’s president, unexpectedly announced his resignation. “Russia must enter the next millennium with new politicians, with new personalities and with new smart, strong and energetic people,” he said. “And we who have been in power for many years must go.”

At the Vatican, Pope John Paul II, fulfilling his dream to lead the Roman Catholic Church across the threshold of 2000, gave his blessing to a vast crowd in St. Peter’s Square, reiterated his calls for an end to war and poverty, and thanked God for “the events of this year, this century and this millennium.”

There were millions around the world who had no reason to be festive, people like Tom Nganga, 40, who lives in Kangemi, a vast slum of Nairobi, Kenya. “We as Kenyans and people of Kangemi are very, very angry as we celebrate this millennium,” he said. “People are very poor. People have nothing to eat. We have nothing to celebrate.”

While the millennium celebrations drew millions, there were relatively few casualties. In the Philippines, two people were killed by stray gunfire and a 5-year-old boy died after a firecracker exploded in his face. At least 200 other Filipinos were injured by fireworks. In Paris, 70 people were hurt in crowds.

After years of concern over Y2K computer problems that had cost billions of dollars to fix, there were no immediate reports of computer-related disasters anywhere in the world, no plane crashes, major power failures, nuclear plant shutdowns or collapses of banking, business, government or health care systems.

But elevators, intercity trains and subways in many American cities and in other countries as well were halted briefly over the witching hour, and some airlines canceled flights for the day, just to be safe. Many airports were all but deserted, with wary travelers staying put. Experts said it might take days for some computer problems to develop, in part because many businesses and government agencies were closed for the holiday weekend.

There had also been fears that terrorists, publicity seekers or the insane might set off explosions or mount chemical or biological attacks as millions gathered to celebrate, while vast audiences watched on television. No specific threats had been reported, although some suspects had been seized recently. Still, there were no immediate reports of trouble, and law enforcement authorities seemed ready for almost anything.

The millennium, an idea with overtones ranging from Biblical to commercial, had swelled recently into a coercive miniculture as the countdown ticked away and a flood of books, articles, television specials and studied commentaries by academic, political and religious leaders reflected upon the last thousand years of human achievements and missteps, and speculated on the next thousand.

Purists still insist that the millennium will not start until January 1, 2001, and they have a point. Centuries and millennia have always ended with the last day of the “zeros” year. But it is all a muddle, because the calendar, at best, is arbitrary. There were problems from ancient times based on inaccuracies in measuring the year’s duration and its uneven division into days, weeks and months. By 1582, the spring equinox was 10 days early, and the days were dropped when the Gregorian calendar replaced the old Julian version. While Pope Gregory’s calendar uses the birth of Christ in 1 B.C. as a starting date, many scholars now suggest that the year was probably closer to 4 B.C.

In any case, as Voltaire noted, history is the lie that historians agree upon, and the tide of popular opinion – always impatient for early results – swept nearly everyone along in recent months. And with the climax of the celebrations, and especially when the nines rolled into zeros at midnight and humanity went ballistic, purists’ talk of technicalities was the last thing anyone wanted to hear.

For doomsayers who had prophecied conflagrations, earthquakes, volcanic eruptions and other end-of-the-world scenarios (and kept a weather eye out for U.F.O. rescue ships), the new millennium was something of a nonevent, although the anxiety prompted by all the wild predictions of chaos was real enough.

The Book of Revelations, Chapter 20, speaks of a resurrection of the dead and a Judgment Day, of sinners cast into a lake of fire and Christ reigning for a thousand years. But if it was not the Second Coming of Jesus as foretold in the Bible, there was still a year to go, or this was the wrong millennium.

And if, as some said, even the idea of a Third Christian Millennium was a Western conceit in a world where Christians are a minority, and one that overlooked other calendars calling this 1420 (Muslim) or 5760 (Jewish), it was also true that the world had long ago come by economic and social necessity to agree upon the Western calendar for trade, travel and other common purposes.

The millennium, if nothing else, was a celebration of history, marking human survival after a deadly century of wars, genocide and revolution that saw the end of colonialism, fascism and communism, as well as the achievements of the past thousand years – printing and widespread literacy; the exploration of the last frontiers on earth; the first ventures into outer space, the inner mind and the microscopic universe, and the flowering of democratic government, and of art, literature, science, technology and communications into undreamed eminences.

The world on this Millennium Day was still beset with terrible problems – with grinding poverty that afflicted a third of its 6 billion inhabitants, with ethnic and national strife, with the continuing curse of racial and religious bigotries, and with the exclusion of millions from adequate health care, education, jobs and even such basic needs as shelter and clean water, not to mention freedoms of speech and political association.

But with a few exceptions – notably threats of terrorism and limited wars in the Balkans, Chechnya and other regions – it was a world largely at peace, with the apocalyptic threat of nuclear annihilation receding and new understandings growing between old enemies in the Middle East, Ireland, South Africa and other long-troubled areas.

And it was a world on the threshold of a new era – one that offered visions of astounding strides in science and technology and seemed to hold out anew the ancient promises of universal peace and prosperity, although the only certainty seemed to be that the world a thousand years from now would be unrecognizable.

As December 31, 1999 gave way to January 1, 2000, in each time zone at midnight, with atomic clocks marking it to a millisecond, celebrators went ecstatic. It began in Fiji and the Kiribati and Marshall Islands in the Western Pacific (it was 7 a.m. E.S.T. yesterday) and moved westward, hour by hour, as the earth turned and 23 more midnights fell across Australia, Asia, Europe, Africa, the Americas and back across the Pacific, ending in Samoa at 6 a.m. E.S.T. today.

Islanders in Kiribati welcomed the millennium with the mournful sounds of a conch shell and with traditional chants and dancing on the beach of a normally uninhabited coral atoll, dubbed Millennium Island.

In Japan, which has absorbed many of the trappings of the Western world while preserving its own cultural and religious traditions, bells tolled in a Buddhist ritual to dispel evils as thousands flocked to temples and shrines. In Tokyo, people went to parties and crowds swarmed to bayside events, including rock concerts and lavish fireworks.

In China, torchbearers in Imperial-era costumes lighted signal fires on the watchtowers of the Great Wall, which snakes 3,000 miles from the Gobi Desert to the North China Sea, and President Jiang Zemin lighted an eternal flame to greet the new millennium and pledged a “great rejuvenation” by reuniting with Taiwan. Over Hong Kong Harbor there were brilliant fireworks displays, and parties abounded, a prelude to the Chinese New Year, the Year of the Dragon, which starts February 5.

The festivities for most of India’s one billion people were muted by comparison with those in wealthier nations, but hundreds of thousands danced, drank and ate at open-air stalls in New Delhi and partygoers were out in force in other cities, celebrating the peaceful end of an eight-day hostage crisis on an Indian Airlines jet hours before midnight.

Iran and its Persian Gulf neighbors largely ignored the new millennium, which fell during the Islamic holy month of Ramadan, a time for prayer and reflection.

In Israel, where religious tension is high at the best of times, security was heavy as three religions and some doomsday cultists marked the occasion, each in its own way. It was especially tight on Jerusalem’s Mount of Olives, where Christian fundamentalists had camped to witness the end of the world, and at the Old City’s Temple Mount, with sites sacred to Muslims and Jews.

On the last New Year’s Eve of the Christian millennium, observant Jews ushered in the Sabbath, as they do every Friday, and many went to pray at the Western Wall, Judaism’s holiest site, while 400,000 Muslims flocked to Al Aksa Mosque on the Temple Mount to mark the last Friday of prayer and fasting in the holy month of Ramadan.

With religious bans on celebrations that might desecrate holy days, the celebrations in Israel were relatively subdued. In Palestinian-governed Bethlehem, the town revered by Christians as the birthplace of Jesus, 2,000 doves were released at midnight on Manger Square, and in secular Tel Aviv, thousands just went to the beach to watch the sun set over the Mediterranean.

In Paris, with new lighting on buildings, boulevards and bridges over the Seine twinkling like the bonfires of a great medieval encampment, people packed the Champs-Elysees from the Tuileries to the Arc de Triomphe as a digital clock at the Eiffel Tower counted down – overcoming an old-fashioned glitch that shut it down five hours before midnight – and announced the millennium in a burst of 20,000 electronic flashes.

In London, two million people lined the Thames for a spectacular fireworks show, while Queen Elizabeth, Prime Minister Tony Blair and other dignitaries gathered under the 20-acre Millennium Dome, a flying-saucer-like colossus at Longitude Zero in Greenwich, to mark the transition while the bells of St. Paul’s and Westminster and churches across Britain pealed. Huge street parties were held in hundreds of Britain’s cities.

In Egypt, floodlights, lasers and fireworks illuminated the ancient pyramids at Giza and electronic music reverberated over the desert as 50,000 people wined and dined in luxurious tents and watched a sparkling millennium show under the watchful eyes of police officers on camels.

Elsewhere, there were torchlight parades in the streets of Stockholm; fireworks and singing by massed choirs in Reykjavik, Iceland, and Helsinki, Finland; concerts and a ball at the opera house in Tallinn, Estonia; enormous street parties in Edinburgh, Scotland, and a Millennium Ball at the Catherine Palace in St. Petersburg, Russia.

In the United States, huge festivities were held on the Washington Mall, and in New Orleans, Chicago, Miami, Los Angeles, Boston, San Francisco and other cities.

In New York, it was a day to remember. The centerpiece was the spectacle billed as “Times Square 2000: the Global Celebration at the Crossroads of the World.” Worried authorities had closed 50 blocks of Midtown to traffic, banned alcohol in open containers and flooded the area with 8,000 officers just in case. All vehicles were towed away as a precaution against car bombs.

Throughout the city, 37,000 of New York’s police officers were on duty, and there was plenty for them to survey. The Times Square celebration was only one of 329 public events in the city, the biggest of the others at Grand Army Plaza in Brooklyn, at Flushing Meadows-Corona Park in Queens, at the Bronx Zoo and in Central Park and Bryant Park in Manhattan.

The celebration in Times Square went off as planned with all-day, all-night pulsing music and cacophonous entertainments by 1,000 musicians, actors, dancers, puppeteers and other performers working from a stage on Seventh Avenue between 45th and 46th Streets.

Broadway, curving like a dancer’s leg, was packed from 42nd Street to Central Park, along with most of the side streets between the Avenue of the Americas and Eighth Avenue. The old wickedness of Times Square was missing, but for most in the crowd it was an adventure just to be caught, shoulder to shoulder, jostling for happiness at the intersection of past and future.

The show ran all day and all night, from 6 a.m. yesterday to 8 a.m. today, and thousands showed up early to stake claims near ground zero. By the time the sun went down, the crowds were already gigantic. They came in shoals from the suburbs, from across the nation and from countless places abroad, and they swept into the vast clogged carnival, determined to experience the exotic and illusory evening.

They were in a euphoric mood, capped and scarved and padded like armadillos against the cold. They watched twilight print the sky with darkness, and the blue night city come to life, glittering like a tiara. By midevening, much of Midtown was seized up in human gridlock. Laser lights slid up the skyscrapers and washed over the writhing mass of Lilliputian figures below.

The crowds were squeezed into police-barrier pens to create lanes for emergency vehicles, and many had to watch events on giant video screens. The closer to 1 Times Square, where the ball descended, the more bleary the crowd looked, many having stood their ground for a day and a half. A stench arose from a layer of garbage underfoot that included pizza and other less identifiable things.

The tradition of celebrators’ watching others celebrate was continued on a global scale. Live video from festivities around the world were pumped into Times Square, and the scenes there were beamed by 45 networks out to a worldwide audience of a billion people.

It was all perfect for television – the images clear and colorful, reducing everything, even the millennium, to entertainment. There were no distracting speeches by dignitaries striking the just-right crystal phrases; indeed, the program – including an international pageant that, hour by hour, reflected the countries where midnight was then occurring – was deliberately languageless.

That, too, was perfect for this crowd, which seemed preoccupied with itself: people taking pictures of each other, fussing with food, gawking at the neon forest, looking for Peter Jennings and paying little attention to the pageant of Japanese yogi-bushi umbrellas, Sri Lankan monk chants, Russian ballerinas, Kenyan war dancers, Argentine rain forest butterfly puppets and Lakota Sioux in face paint.

But the crowd got into the spirit of things, screaming numbers as the final seconds of the failing millennium were counted down. The tensions that had been building for weeks reached a climax, and there was an inescapable sense of a great public moment at hand, one that most generations could never experience.

On center stage, the buckram face of Mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani, proud as a drum major, stood at the controls of the descending ball with Dr. Mary Ann Hopkins, 36, who was being honored for her work in war-torn countries as a volunteer in Doctors Without Borders.

And when midnight struck, the roar was deafening: a din of horns, amplified music and countless voices shrieking at the edge of madness. In the chaos, lasers zoomed, flashbulbs sparkled, a blizzard of confetti and streamers and balloons filled the air, and in the distance a blinding dazzle of fireworks exploded.

They sang, “Auld Lang Syne,” and the joyous screams and congratulatory embraces went on and on. The fireworks, too, went on and on over the East River off South Street Seaport, in Central Park, in Brooklyn’s Prospect Park – the biggest pyrotechnic display in history – a booming, sparkling, scintillating barrage of rockets and sunbursts that bathed the awed faces in eerie light and echoed off the facades of a city that seemed to exist only in the imagination.

Think tank –
From an ancient calendar, scenes of life at the last millennium

By Joyce Jensen

Its appearance, with 12 months represented in 12 pages, is not so different from that of a calendar you might find hanging on a kitchen wall (except for the words in Latin). But the Julius Work Calendar is nearly 1,000 years old. It was probably created by a cleric working in the manuscript studio at Canterbury Cathedral in England. Down the left side of the page are the days of the month in Roman numerals, and on the right the names of saints and religious festivals. Across the bottom runs a delicate drawing illustrating the task of the month. Over all the calendar offers a window on life in England at the start of the second millennium.

Here are explanations of the drawings based on excerpts from “The Year 1000” by Robert Lacey and Danny Danziger, published by Little, Brown and Company.

JANUARY – “The ploughman feeds us all,” declared Aelfric, the Wessex writer and schoolmaster who, in the years 987 to 1002, had his pupils observe and analyze the various economic activities around them. The wheeled plow was the foundation of life for English people in the year 1000. January’s drawing shows a man with a plow making furrows of freshly turned earth.

FEBRUARY – February displays a yard of vigorous vines being pruned. As the wheeled plow embodied millennial man’s mastery of the soil, the skillful pruning of branches demonstrated his ability to create a working partnership with bushes, vines and trees.

MARCH – The average person was represented by the man with the spade or, in the illustration, the man with the rake, the mattock or pickax, and an apron full of seeds. March 21 was a magical date, with exactly the same number of hours in the day as in the night. At the bottom of the calendar are two notations: NOX HOR XII (Night hours 12); HABET DIES HOR XII (the day has 12 hours).

APRIL – The Roman Catholic Church in England celebrated Easter on the first Sunday after the first full moon after the spring equinox. The holy day, which came at the end of the 40-day Lenten fast, was celebrated with a feast; thus the calendar depicts a group of revelers with their cups raised. Meat was the principal ingredient of an Anglo-Saxon banquet. Poultry was considered a luxury and was also recognized as a therapeutic. addition to the diet of the sick or invalid. Old English recipe and remedy books show that chicken soup was already renowned for its restorative powers.

MAY – In the year 1000 England under King Ethelred II enjoyed a prosperity unmatched in northern Europe. Surviving documents testify to 10th-century trade in wine, furs, fish and slaves, and there is evidence that English woolen cloth was being exported to Europe a couple of centuries before the millennium. Clearly the Anglo-Saxons were sheep-rearing folk: the calendar drawing for May shows a flock cavorting under shepherds’ eyes.

JUNE – The word carpenter is said to have come from the Latin word carpentum, the sturdy two-wheeled cart developed by the Celtic woodworkers of ancient Britain, which was much admired by the Romans. That cart, being loaded with tree trunks, is June’s illustration. In the year 1000 the forests were a center of life. They provided fuel, building material, a place of refuge from invaders and a larder of last resort.

JULY – Hay month was the first great harvest of the year; the farmers needed the grass cut and dried before the rain could spoil it. The July harvest would provide enough feed to maintain the animals through the winter.

AUGUST – August 1, known as Lammas Day, is one of the oldest English country festivals. It marked the day when the first loaf from the new harvest was consecrated. The drawing for August makes clear that harvesting for this Lammas, or loaf Mass, was an activity that involved the whole community. No less than seven laborers – more people than in any other drawing in the cycle – are sweeping their sickles, cutting the wheat, binding it into sheaves and loading it into a Saxon cart.

SEPTEMBER – In this month’s drawing two Anglo-Saxon adventurers are heading into the woods in search of big game. In September villagers would hunt the free-range pigs that roamed the woodlands to stock up for the harsh winter ahead.

OCTOBER – October depicts hunters with falcons attached to their wrists. Their quarry is the huge European crane, a common sight in England until it was hunted to extinction in the 16th century. Hunting in 1000 was still a democratic pastime. Every freeborn Anglo-Saxon had the right to enter the forest and bring home game for the pot. Medieval hunting was both a metaphor for war and a preparation for it, as it trained riders and horses and fostered the camaraderie of the warrior band.

NOVEMBER – Theft was not taken lightly in the year 1000: in the drawing for this month, a figure standing beside a pile of wooden planks is suspected of being a thief and is brought to justice. Under the rudimentary codes of the time – there was no police force or prison – he would be hanged if found guilty. The risk was most severe for those who could not buy their way out; the rich could pay for their transgressions at the rate of 125 pounds of silver for each human life they had taken.

DECEMBER – December’s drawing shows a group of ordinary people flailing, winnowing and carrying away the harvest, which is probably how most people in England prepared for and greeted the beginning of the second millennium. Only the literate were in a position to concern themselves greatly with what would happen when – as the Anglo-Saxons would have put it in the older Roman numeral style – the year DCCCCLXXXXVIIIJ became a simple M.

Folds of newspapers yield symbols of peace

By Maria Newman

Joshua Davis, 17, has been counting down each of the 1900s last 1,000 days by scanning the front page of a daily newspaper.

But he does not just digest the news of each day’s troubles and triumphs. After a quick read, his hands work each inky front page into a dozen triangular folds, creating an origami crane for a collection that he says will symbolize the end of 1,000 years.

Of all the gestures and celebrations being staged throughout the New York region, Joshua’s is perhaps one of the quietest and most private.

Each evening, Joshua, a junior at Montclair High School in New Jersey, sits at his desk in his yellow-walled room and folds an origami crane, which he strings together with the others and stores in a trunk belonging to his grandfather. The cranes are symbols of peace and hope, he said.

His plan, after completing the 1,000th yesterday, is to donate the cranes to a museum.

“I thought that this would be such a beautiful gesture,” he said in the dim light of his room. “There is so much pain printed in this paper. I wanted to turn it into something beautiful, a paper crane that is a symbol of peace.”

Joshua discovered the ancient art of origami, which entails folding a square of paper into delicate shapes, in an after-school class he took at Glenfield Middle School three years ago. He learned that the origami crane had become an international symbol of peace in the 1950s when a young girl in Japan struggled with the injuries she suffered in the 1945 bombing of Hiroshima.

Joshua read that 10 years after the bombing, the girl, Sadako Sasaki, an athletic 11-year-old, was stricken with leukemia, a result of exposure to radiation as an infant. Until the end, the girl believed she would recover if she folded 1,000 origami cranes, which are symbols of good luck in Japan.

When she died on October 25, 1955, Sadako had folded 644 cranes. Her classmates folded the other 356, so that 1,000 cranes would be buried with her. They also donated money for a memorial to her, the Children’s Monument in Hiroshima’s Peace Park.

Also known as the Tower of a Thousand Cranes, the monument is a statue of a girl, her arms outstretched, holding a golden crane. For years, schoolchildren from all over Japan have made pilgrimages to the monument, carrying with them the cranes they have folded.

“It might sound insane, but I thought it was a noble cause,” Joshua said. “She has inspired a lot of people, and she inspired me.”

Joshua, who also runs track and plays the flute and baritone in the school band, moved to Montclair from Georgia when he was in the seventh grade. His father, Rob Davis, is a representative for Cambridge University Press, and the family has lived throughout the southern United States.

Joshua began collecting the daily newspapers for his cranes in 1996, and his collection is not missing a single day’s front page. Some days, however, it has been a struggle not to miss a copy of the newspaper, like when his family has been on vacation. The first time, he said, he had neglected to make arrangements for someone to save the newspapers that were delivered to his house, and he had to go scavenging around recycling piles and the public library so his collection did not miss a day.

Now, neighbors and friends help him save the newspapers when his family is traveling.

His mother, Peggy Davis, said she marveled at her son’s dedication to the three-year project.

“It’s neat to see the stamina and persistence of doing something that long a time in someone of that age,” she said. “He’s a very interesting guy.”

One day recently, Joshua was making his latest delicate crane to add to the collection. His hands moved deftly to form the paper triangles. “Joseph Heller died,” he noted as he folded a recent front page. “That was sad. Oh, well.” And he kept folding until he had another crane.

MARATHON: A running start to the Year 2000

By Christopher Clarey

“Welcome to the first marathon anywhere in the world this millennium,” the public-address announcer said as approximately 2,000 runners applauded the news here on the first morning of 2000.

They had come from 45 countries: from Thailand and Japan; from France and the Czech Republic; from Canada and the United States. In most cases, they had made their plans years ago, conserved their resources and sacrificed a night of carefree revelry for the chance to get up long before dawn and smile through the pain in the Millennium Marathon.

“I must confess that I was in bed before midnight,” said Weston Holmes, a 61-year-old from Houston.

But there were psychic rewards for those who bid farewell to the 1900s 18 hours ahead of the New Yorkers and Bostonians and Washingtonians they left behind.

“They haven’t even gathered in Times Square yet, and we already ran a marathon,” said Fred Lipsky, a 42-year-old sergeant in the Suffolk County Police Department on Long Island.

What the jet laggers and early risers did not get for their trouble was a spectacular sunrise. Instead, they got light rain and mist as they gathered for the 6 a.m. start that had been timed to coincide with first light.

The early start also deprived the marathoners of a sizable audience. Only a few hundred spectators lined the streets of Hamilton, a city of more than 100,000 approximately 80 miles south of New Zealand’s capital, Auckland. But neither the sparse crowd nor the soggy conditions dampened the enthusiasm of the competitors. They cheered as they prepared to start. Some were sporting floppy hats with “2000” written on them.

The Americans were certainly here in force. A total of 626 competed in either the marathon or the much shorter fun runs that followed it, and though the fastest men’s finisher in the marathon was an Aucklander and the fastest woman a Briton, the Americans had the biggest contingent: slightly bigger than the Germans and substantially bigger than the host nation.

“I’ve been planning this for two years,” said S. Mark Courtney, a 43-year-old from Grove City, Pa. “This is my 100th career marathon, and I was trying to zero in on which one to pick, and New Zealand is a place I always wanted to go. That and this race were the perfect combination.”

The race organizer, Andrew Galloway, expressed disappointment that more New Zealanders did not reach the same conclusion. “New Zealanders generally have not accepted much to do with the millennium,” he said. “There have been a lot of canceled events here.”

Galloway dreamed up the Millennium Marathon in 1995 when he was secretary of the Association of International Marathons. At a meeting in New York, he suggested to his organization and Unicef that they organize a run in every major city around the world as the year 2000 dawned. The interest was not there, and so after a meeting with international marathon tour operators, he settled for Hamilton.

“Hey, it’s not the New York City Marathon,” Lipsky said after finishing the 26.2-mile course in 3 hours 32 minutes 10 seconds. “But for a small town and a small country, it was still a beautiful race.”

Lipsky is part of Fred’s Team, the group of runners carrying on the fund-raising work begun by the New York City Marathon founder Fred Lebow, who died of brain cancer in 1994. All 30 of the team members who raced in Hamilton raised at least $9,000 for children’s cancer research at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center in Manhattan. Lipsky said he had raised $23,000 since his last marathon in an even more exotic Southern Hemisphere locale: Antarctica’s King George Island.

“We had to stay on a ship before the race for that one; there were no roads or hotels, only research camps,” said Lipsky, whose goal is to run a marathon on all seven continents.

Though Hamilton had no glaciers or penguins, it did have its own quirks, including a midrace wedding ceremony between two marathon competitors. Published reports that several world-class Ethiopian runners were to compete proved apocryphal, however, and the winner, Mark Hutchinson, had to settle for a time (2:21.58) that was much more modest than the race’s title.

Kamala Cornman and her husband, Lance, who came from Oklahoma City to run, chose to push the envelope, joining in the celebration in the streets of Hamilton and then watching the celebration in Sydney, Australia, on television before going to bed.

“We got two hours of sleep,” Kamala said. “But we can sleep later. How many times do you get to experience something like this?”

The Big City: Millennium? It’s really 1703!

By John Tierney

Are you already disappointed by the alleged new millennium?

Do you think you missed out on the good millennial parties? Did you suspect, during yesterday’s television marathon, that you were the only person on Earth not overcome with the desire to dance in the street?

Are you still unable to understand why the citizens of the world’s most technologically advanced society celebrate the future by gathering to watch a ball slide down a pole? And does your brain this morning feel even slower than it did in 1999?

I can offer two bits of solace. The first comes courtesy of The National Enquirer. It reported, in an article on the “bizarre ways stars will kick off the new year,” that Carol Connors, the author of the “Rocky” theme song, would be flying her baby grand piano to a mountain in South Africa to sing to the lions in the Shamwari Game Reserve.

“When the millennium rolls in,” she told The Enquirer, “I’ll be on top of a mountain performing my new song, ‘We Must Stop.’ It’s a plea for conservation on this planet.”

If you can imagine that moment, how can you not feel better about life? No matter how dreary your New Year’s Eve was, you did not greet 2000 listening to “We Must Stop.” The lions of Shamwari surely envy you.

The second bit of solace comes courtesy of Heribert Illig, a German who fully understands why you may not be feeling especially millennial this morning. According to his calculations, today is the beginning of the year 1703.

Dr. Illig, who lives near Munich, is an independent scholar who has been called the “von Daniken of the Middle Ages,” a tribute to his robust book sales as well as to his dismal reputation among academics. The Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung called him “Dr. Seltsam und die Zeitbombe” – Dr. Strange and the Time Bomb.

His zeitbombe is a marvelously simple explanation for the paucity of archaeological remains and other records from the Dark Ages: there was no such period. In his two books, “The Middle Ages Invented” and “Who Adjusted the Clock?” he argues that history from 614 to 911 – including the reign of Charlemagne – was fabricated after the calendar was bumped ahead nearly three centuries.

Dr. Illig has a couple of hypotheses for the origin of the conspiracy. It might have been a seventh-century Byzantine ruler anxious to “spruce up” his empire’s history. Or maybe Otto III, crowned Holy Roman Emperor in what we think of as the year 996, was actually crowned much earlier and then conspired with the pope to advance the calendar so that he could be ruling when the millennium arrived.

Was it possible that Otto wanted to stimulate the empire’s tourist economy by presiding over a millennial ball-lowering ceremony in Rome? Alas, Dr. Illig does not address the question, and there are no records of Otto discussing that aspect of his Y1K plans.

While academic scholars dismiss Dr. Illig’s theory as preposterous, it has been embraced by a growing band of amateurs. The movement has even begun to splinter. This year, when another writer in Germany published a book called “Invented History,” Dr. Illig dismissed the author as a “Trittbrettfahrer” – someone riding on a car’s running board – who was trying to “make money off my name.”

It’s easy to see why the theory has a certain appeal. The zeitbombe frees history students from some of the drearier chapters in their text books, and its majestic scope makes other conspiracy theories seem paltry. What’s an extra gunman in the Kennedy assassination against three centuries of world history? Oliver Stone will be on the case soon.

Most important, the zeitbombe provides us with a second chance to plan a proper millennium celebration for Times Square. The basic technology of a ball sliding down a pole wasn’t even novel in Emperor Otto’s day. The Crossroads of the Millennium deserves something more exciting.

My dream, which city officials have been carefully ignoring for two years, is to replace the ball with a huge illuminated swing shaped like a crescent moon. It would start out where the ball is and transport a leggy chorine all the way across Times Square to the rooftop above the Coca-Cola sign, accompanied by elaborate lights and holograms in the sky.

The plan isn’t quite finished – I haven’t figured out how to hang the swing yet – but thanks to Dr. Illig we have 297 years to work out the details. Or to come up with something better. I’m open to anything as long it doesn’t involve any songs about saving the planet that sound like the theme from “Rocky.”

Works in progress from all over: Bloodless knife for epilepsy

By Denise Caruso

The century’s turn has been a time of retrospectives: what was the most important event, who was the most influential thinker? Arts & Ideas decided to take a look ahead at what some of today’s researchers are working on. From the most raked-over field, like the history of the ancient world, to the latest medical technology, scholars are coming up with fresh insights. Some ideas may turn into breakthroughs, and others may turn out to be dead-ends, but the journey is rarely boring. Here is a handful of works in progress.

About 1 percent of the population, nearly three million people in the United States, has epilepsy. Because drug therapy is not always effective, finding new ways to treat the disorder without the risk and cost of open brain surgery has been of keen interest to medical researchers like Nicholas M. Barbaro, a neurosurgeon and epilepsy specialist at the University of California at San Francisco.

Now Dr. Barbaro and his team at the U.C.S.F.-Stanford Medical Center are joining with specialists at four other leading epilepsy treatment centers – Yale University, the University of Pittsburgh, Northwestern University and the University of Virginia – in a study to see if there is an answer.

Their study will focus on 40 patients with temporal lobe epilepsy, which is known to be resistant to drug therapy but can be located precisely in the brain and is very responsive to traditional surgery.

The consortium has applied for a $2 million grant from the National Institutes of Health to make a two-year study of the safety and effectiveness of a bloodless radiosurgery technique with a $5 million piece of equipment called the Gamma Knife.

The Gamma Knife, made by the Swedish medical technology firm Elekta, focuses low-dosage gamma radiation from 201 sources on a precise target in the brain. Areas adjacent to the target receive only slight doses of radiation, while the target gets the full intensity.

Until recently the Gamma Knife was used only to treat tumors and vascular disorders of the brain, not epilepsy. But animal tests showed promise, and in November a team of French doctors published a preliminary report in the medical journal Epilepsia that claimed the elimination of seizures in six of seven human patients who were treated with the Gamma Knife.

But the apparent success of the French study, Dr. Barbaro, the study’s principal investigator, said, raises almost as many concerns as hopes, highlighting the importance of a larger and more controlled study in the United States.

“We already know the French have gotten a pretty favorable outcome, with the vast majority of their subjects becoming seizure-free,” he said. “But there are still big questions, and we’re concerned that as soon as a couple of their publications come out, everyone with a Gamma Knife will think they can try this without having enough long-term data to decide the most effective and safest protocol.”

For example, Dr. Barbaro said, the French study did not compare the effectiveness of low and high doses of radiation, as the American study will. He added that there have not been enough subjects to determine the safety and effectiveness of the procedure.

“We consider our study to be a pilot,” Dr. Barbaro said. “We believe you should treat 100 patients or more before you’re able to say, ‘Here’s the formula, here’s how you treat epilepsy with a Gamma Knife.’ We won’t have good, hard data about safety until then.”

But if larger studies continue to show positive results, he said, the benefits of Gamma Knife surgery may be great. For example, children with drug-resistant epilepsy who have radiosurgery may be able to reduce or eliminate the antiseizure medication that has been shown to depress I.Q.

Fewer patients will suffer postoperative language impairment, “something that’s unavoidable in an open surgical procedure,” Dr. Barbaro said, because radiosurgery does not require cutting through the outer surface of the brain where language skills are located.

What is more, Dr. Barbaro said, especially if lower doses are found to eliminate seizures effectively, the “potential exists to treat people who cannot be operated on today,” particularly those whose epilepsy is centered in parts of the brain that affect speech and movement.

Essay: Why die?

By William Safire

Of all the instincts in animals, the strongest is the will to survive. In the human animal, that inborn defense is sometimes overcome by the maternal instinct, by love of country or comrades in battle, or by an illness like depression. But in most of us, nothing makes the weak strong or the fearful brave as much as our bodies’ innate drive to stay alive.

Because of that survival instinct, in the millennium to come a curious question will occupy the minds of our descendants. It seems almost nutty to ask it today, but tomorrow’s question will be: Why die?

One sober-sided school of scientific thought holds that Homo sapiens, our species now celebrating its 100th millennium, is born with an inner clock. That genetic clock directs our cells not only to grow but to age and decay. It is set to run no more than 120 or 130 years.

Few of us live to that full span because of illness, accident or war. But the clear trend is toward filling up more of that span: in the past century alone, life expectancy in the U.S. has gone from 46 to 76. Now add the ingredient of diseaselessness: conservative scientists say that in the coming century cures will be found for the leading killers – heart disease, cancer and stroke – and genetically influenced diseases will be engineered out of existence.

With the major killers gone, and with organ transplants or prosthetic innards replacing worn-out human parts, more people will be pushing up against that presumed clock. Centenarians will be common.

Now take the leap: What if the hypothesis of the clock-watchers is mistaken? As the lengthening of life in the 20th century showed us, a life span of “three score and ten” is not the most reliable prediction in the Bible. Where is it written in our genes that a signal will direct our bodies to close up shop at 120?

I put that question to the great Johns Hopkins neuroscientist Dr. Guy McKhann. He and his wife, Prof. Marilyn Albert, the new head of the Harvard Mahoney Neuroscience Institute in Boston, are completing a book about the untapped potential of the aging brain. (They are “experts on aging”; never call them “aging experts.”)

“Maybe you’re asking the wrong question,” says Dr. McKhann. “Assume there is some finite span of time set by an internal clock, as studies of other species suggest. Then the real question becomes: Can we reset the clock?”

That’s what all the recent excitement among scientists over stem cells is about. If the next-to-last year of the second millennium is remembered for anything, it will be for the discovery of the human body’s ability to regenerate itself.

These stem cells – non-differentiated globs of cells that divide randomly and blossom into nerve or muscle or brain cells – are being shown to be a source of replacement of dead or dying cells. We never thought that to be possible. These wild-card cells may be found not just in embryos but in adult bodies, and could, in effect, reset the clock – time and again, doubling and redoubling the life span. Ponce de Leon’s fountain of youth may be within our reach.

“Some organs, like the liver, will be relatively easy to regenerate,” says Dr. McKhann. “The brain is harder, but we should be able to replace parts of the brain afflicted with diseases, as well as to improve short- and long-term memory in the renewing brain.”

At a millennium’s turn, we can think even bigger. If the instinct for survival remains paramount, most of the geezers of the next few hundred years will want to stick around. At first, that seems troubling; as the Ira Gershwin lyric observed: “Methusaleh lived 900 years. / But who calls dat livin’ / when no gal’ll give in / to no man what’s 900 years?”

Answer: For future people, doddering will no longer be an option. Throw out those second-millennium images of codgers in wheelchairs staring at the wall. The Gramps of a century or so from now will be swiveling on the dance floor with his replacement hips and fresh lungs and newly enlivened brain and pocketful of potency pills.

Granted, as mortality recedes and babies keep coming, it could get a little crowded here. After the population of earth reaches 30 billion, what then? Solution: Start shipping the spry old folks out on a mission to colonize the solar system. “Happy 200th birthday, Grandma – here’s your ticket to Mars, and say hello to your parents out there.”

This calendar-induced speculation is not directed at those of us today who will probably keel over even before our genetic clocks run out. But for those readers of a distant tomorrow who will flip back through the millennia to access The New York Times Archive, one will say, “You know, this fellow was incredibly prescient.” And another will respond, with all human skepticism, “Sure, he was right – but do you really want to live forever?”

Opinion: 2000 and beyond – The shape of an age to come

So now at last begins the year 2000, a juncture in time so long anticipated it is hard to believe it has arrived, disguised as a mere Saturday. The year is so utterly new, all four digits overturned at once, that simply seeing the date in print jars the eye.

The very novelty of it – this is the roundest year any of us will ever see – suggests momentous change. In a practical sense, of course, that is far from true. What remained undone on Friday will still need doing on Monday. Yet there is no denying that we have arrived at the gateway to another epoch, and the moment commands respect and reflection about the world to come. In a thousand years, when people look back at what has preceded them, they will see that the chronicle of this new millennium began with us, on this day. We belong now to their history, as progenitors, in a different way than we did even yesterday.

Ideals for posterity

When we gaze into a seeming infinity of tomorrows, we face the challenge that any generation confronts when it looks ahead: how to influence a future we cannot control or even predict. We can no more see the details of centuries yet to be than the residents of cultivated, tolerant, prosperous Baghdad in A.D. 1000 could imagine what their city would look like a millennium later under the tyranny of Saddam Hussein. We also recognize that no civilization lasts forever, and that America a thousand years hence will be something very different, if it exists at all.

None of this, however, relieves us of the obligation to do what is within our power. That is to help form the future by bequeathing the best of what we have learned about constructing and sustaining an enlightened civilization. History teaches that the surest way to reach across time is through the transmission of enduring values and ideals. The convictions of Washington and Jefferson still guide us powerfully today, just as the ideas of the ancient Greeks and the Enlightenment philosophers emboldened them. We have a similar opportunity to inspire coming generations by projecting toward them the principles that we have honed in more recent times. They can be the distinctive legacy of our age.

A fresh way of seeing the world

For we are the custodians of an attitudinal revolution that developed in the last decades of the century – the final seconds, figuratively speaking, of the millennium. We have come to see the need to organize the world’s affairs in ways that bridge territorial, political and cultural boundaries and to act in concert to protect the health of the earth itself.

These ideas, now widely embraced, represent a seismic shift in how we think about the world, the relations between peoples and nations, and our relationship with the planet that is our home. Globalization has become a term of art for unifying trends in trade, communications and management. But it could as easily refer to a generous new consciousness about how the world should manage not just its enterprises and armies but the task of crafting a shared destiny.

True, we have not ended bloodshed or eliminated ethnic violence, nor have we overcome poverty or defeated disease. The fact that this day arrives freighted with anxiety about terrorist attacks in our most joyous public spaces shows that we have not conquered the violence born of bigotry and political division. It would be naive, even reckless, to suggest that the world’s problems do not weigh heavily as the centuries turn, and we do not mean to underestimate the dangers that may lie ahead.

But in these first hours of a new era, it behooves us to imagine the future with a sense of optimism, something that eluded our ancestors as they struggled just to survive. We have the humane vision and technological means to lift the world family to new levels of liberty, affluence, health and happiness. Forging that possibility into reality is the task that greets us in the morning of the new millennium.

Decisive lessons

The blinding flash and towering mushroom cloud that filled the sky over Alamogordo, N.M., on July 16, 1945, signaled the advent of a new world in which adversaries could unleash nature’s most powerful forces. Less than 25 years later, three men peered back at Earth as they circled the moon, and from the porthole of their spacecraft that Christmas Eve in 1968 we could see how small, how wondrous our planet is as it floats in the black emptiness of space. The profound paradox of those images – one deadly, one supernal – has instructed the progressive nations of the world in the last years of the millennium.

We had acquired the tools to deform the entire planet, and not with weapons alone. Unrestrained pollution and surging population growth are forces of equal, albeit more gradual, cataclysmic potential. Yet just at this point of paralyzing danger, we also gained the ability to see the earth as a miraculous and mendable entity, and to think and act in altruistic ways that would have been unimaginable just a few decades ago.

The origins of this transforming process – a universal learning experience that may in time be compared to the Renaissance – can be found in the blossoming of democratic spirit in 18th-century revolutions. Later, industrialization demonstrated the life-changing potential of technology and inventiveness. The military conflicts of the last century created both a worldwide hunger for peace and a sharpened antipathy to totalitarian governance. The rising aspirations of Asia and Africa showed the futility of imperialism, while the United States and its Western partners, in their farsighted moments, were seeking to guide the world according to what Lincoln called the better angels of our nature.

In more recent years this new perspective deepened with the recognition and fear that the technology of war had brought us to the edge of a disaster from which the world might never recover. But it also grew from the interconnectedness of the modern age, the realization that the welfare of a single nation could not be severed from the welfare of the entire world. More benign technologies – airplanes, telephones, television – spurred the process. Today, computers and the global communications network are all but erasing national boundaries and undercutting nationalism itself.

A different international order

Our political and economic models are changing as the cold war recedes. We have learned that our leaders should be judged not by their ability to defeat enemies or conquer new territories, but on their capacity to extend prosperity and peace. Because even small countries can obtain the weapons to threaten not just adjacent lands but distant capitals, every nation has a critical interest in seeing every other nation do well. In the Middle East and most recently in the Balkans, the United States and its allies have found common purpose in combating regional bloodlettings and preventing rogue nations from acquiring biological, chemical and nuclear arms. We must be imaginative and wise in helping Russia and China become responsible world powers after tortured decades under Communism.

The third millennium’s economy has to be a mutually beneficial construction of expanding productivity and shared prosperity, built around the engine of trade. It is easy to see a developing nation’s wealth as an opportunity for new markets. We must also perceive that a poor nation’s hunger is a danger to the well-being of the whole. One of the great goals for mankind in the opening decades of the new century must be to lift hundreds of millions of destitute people from poverty.

For poverty, like war, is contagious. It can destroy life, and the prospect of living as well. Deprived people must consume an earth they cannot afford to protect. They turn farmland into desert. They develop communicable diseases that can spread across continents in days.

Preservation of the planet

Surely one of the modern epoch’s greatest gifts to the third millennium is a new reverence for the environment. Until the most recent moment in human history, our relationship toward nature was always carelessly rapacious. But only since the Industrial Revolution have we been capable of doing irreparable damage to the land, water and air. We are the first generation to accept ecological stewardship as a duty to unborn generations.

Yet we cannot ignore the fact that our desire to see poor countries reach prosperity is colliding with our need to curb fossil fuels, deforestation and the depletion of an all too exhaustible sea. Resolving those conflicts early in the new millennium may well be the test by which posterity most stringently grades us. If managed properly, capitalism, with its roots in individual self-interest, can be a powerful tool for creating the wealth that allows developing nations to cleanse the air, earth and water.

Future generations will also measure what we did with the world’s knowledge reserves. One of the rules for the next millennium must be that we have an obligation to disseminate, not hoard, new information about science, health and technology. The Internet has given us the tools for sharing. The will must still come from the human heart. In the end, the democratization of wealth and health depend on the worldwide democratization of knowledge.

The light of a new day

We will turn soon enough to the tasks that await us. Even now, the monumentality of this moment fades in the old familiarity of morning and afternoon. The sun has barely begun to gather itself after the winter solstice, and the light over the city and the country is so fragile that it threatens to splinter and fall in flakes to the ground, as it always threatens to do in January.

And yet something about the sound of 2000 draws past and future near in a way that we have never quite known before. So here we are now, all of us, just next door to yesterday and yet somehow in a different world. This day’s firstborn are already with us, and the first of us to die in this new calendar have already gone. Soon we will have slept a full night in this strange-sounding year, and then another. We cannot know how the new millennium will end, but we do have the power to determine how it begins and, perhaps, what it will remember of us.

Opinion: Foreign affairs – Boston E-party

By Thomas L. Friedman

Last summer I was changing planes at Singapore’s swank new airport, which has lounges spread all over, at which transit passengers can watch satellite TV. As I walked through the airport, I bought a snack and sat down in one of these lounges. There I found two elderly Indian women, in traditional sari robes, watching American professional wrestling. These two petite Indian ladies were sitting transfixed, gazing at huge wrestlers in Tarzan suits body-slamming one another. All I could think was: “What in the world are they making of this?”

I’ve thought back on that scene often, because it captured an essential truth about the world we are about to enter – a world increasingly without walls in which countries, cultures and economies are going to meet, and wrestle with, each other so much more directly – for better and for worse. For months Cisco Systems, makers of the Internet, have been running an ad showing young people from all corners of the earth asking: “Are you ready?”

I’m afraid we’re not. There’s an old adage in the computer business that the hardware always runs ahead of the software. That is, the computer and chip makers are always building faster machines that the software writers have to catch up with. It’s true of people, too. As we enter the new millennium the agents of change in our lives – the technologies and networks that are tearing down walls, weaving us together and forcing us all to speed up, downsize, download, integrate and streamline – are running ahead of the human capacity to adjust and absorb. Our computers and robots may be Y2K ready, but our bodies and our politics are not.

Well then, some people say, let’s put the walls back up, put some sand in the gears and slow down the world – not so I can get off, but so I can stay on! Not so easy. Every time you try to rebuild a wall, some new technology comes along and erases it. We have no choice but to adjust.

You’d never know that, though, listening to the presidential candidates. We have candidates out in Iowa debating ethanol while the Internet is transforming the world, and it doesn’t even get a mention. That’s because, for the moment, the Internet is primarily ripping apart, and radically restructuring, business and shopping. But in the next decade its creative destruction will hit education and government with full force.

“None of the candidates are talking about this at all,” remarked one Internet exec, “but then I guess if any of them really understood the magnitude of the changes that are coming in the next eight years they’d never run for office.”

Steve Case, the head of America Online, put it to me best: “I think we need to reconvene the Founding Fathers.” I agree, because the next decade is going to be as revolutionary and creative a period in American politics as was the period between the Declaration of Independence in 1776 and the Constitutional Convention in 1787.

The fuse will be e-commerce and a new Boston Tea Party, led by governors and mayors throwing computers overboard. Because as they discover that their tax base is being lost to untaxed Internet commerce, we will have to move to a national sales tax. This will require a restructuring of relations between cities, states and the federal government. Issues such as freedom of speech and libel are going to have to be rethought as the Internet makes everyone a potential publisher in cyberspace – but with no censor or editor in charge. Privacy protection is going to have to be rethought in a world where for $39 Web sites will search out anyone’s assets and home address for you. And our safety nets are going to have to be rethought in a world in which access to the Internet is going to be viewed as a human right, essential for basic survival – especially as governments move more services to the Web. (Are you going to wait in line for hours at city hall to get a license renewed when you can now buy your whole car with one click on the Web?)

Getting through this transition is going to require the best of America, and for America to be at its best and help others. The best of America was that unique blend of wisdom and fresh, youthful thinking of the Founding Fathers. To re-engineer our society and country we’re going to have to revive that youthful, radically creative spirit. This may be the millennium, but it’s no time for us to get old.

I was once asked what I wished Israel on its 50th birthday, and I said I hoped it would always remain true to the last lines of Bob Dylan’s ballad “Forever Young.” I wish that even more for America today: “May your hands always be busy / May your feet always be swift / May you have a strong foundation when the winds of changes shift / May your heart always be joyful / May your song always be sung / May you stay forever young.”

Journal: ‘Round midnight

By Frank Rich

“It’s only a number,” my mother used to say. It’s only a date on a calendar. You’re only as old as you feel.

But I wonder what she would have made of a date in which all four digits of the calendar year flip over at once, and time is measured only in hundreds and thousands. Certainly I find it daunting.

Born in the middle of this century – oops, make that last century – I grew up in an era when the year 1984 loomed as a terrifying marker of future shock that could never actually arrive. When the year 2001 seemed as remote and incomprehensible as the ending of the Stanley Kubrick movie that alighted upon that date for the end of Western civilization as we now know it. When the 19th century – during which my ancestors still lived in Europe and spoke languages we have now forgotten – seemed as far off as the Stone Age.

Who could have imagined the current exponential leap? If time stretches into infinity both behind and ahead of us, then everything is small. Thinking in thousands reminds us not only of the ephemeral nature of our own existence but that the American experiment is a mere pup.

Yet we keep hoping to make sense of the big picture. Someday, perhaps, another civilization will look back at this one and wonder: What were they thinking of? How many millennium books, lists, TV specials and tour packages did these nutty people create to decode the significance in the passing of a year? There isn’t a single high school student, college professor, journalist, clergyman or politician who hasn’t been drafted into the frenetic effort to add up all the digits, all the names, all the wars into a sum total that somehow might answer the question “What in God’s name does it mean?”

Whether this frenzy has added to our understanding isn’t at all clear. Perhaps the only correct answer to that question is the one Samuel Beckett came up with in the 20th century: Nothing to be done. But as our fin-de-siecle year of philosophizing, pontification, punditry, fear-mongering and self-congratulation dragged on and on, I found that my own perspective on the world around me had changed. Not because I’d reached some cosmic conclusion about the last or next 1,000 years of history but because the sheer overload forced me to take stock of what matters to me and what does not.

The more I heard the word “millennium” and the more I tried to wrap my mind around it, the more I found my own thoughts hewing toward the small in scale. Rather than ponder whether the printing press or the microchip was the invention of the millennium, or whether Adolf Hitler or F.D.R. should be marketed as the man of the century, I found myself measuring what was near to me, right now, right at this very minute, right at home.

I found myself treasuring my wife and my children and the country in which we have all flourished in ways unimaginable to our impoverished ancestors in the Old World. Instead of contemplating a millennium’s worth of music or literature, I listened over and over to the splintery piano of Thelonious Monk, and savored Proust’s delicate description of childhood in Combray – turning, without really realizing it, to artists who slow time down instead of speeding it up, who hold each shard of the passing moment up to the light, out of the conviction that each is precious and beautiful. Like many other Americans, I stopped thinking about spending New Year’s Eve at an epic blowout in the company of strangers, but looked forward to keeping it simple, with those I love close at hand.

A couple of weeks ago a song popped into my head that I hadn’t thought about in years. “Someone in a Tree” was written a quarter-century ago by Stephen Sondheim for his show “Pacific Overtures” to dramatize a fateful historical event: Commodore Perry and his American warships forcing Japan to end its isolation from the West in 1853. In Sondheim’s song, the official meeting of the Japanese and the American landing party, of which there’s no surviving indigenous record, is described speculatively by a peasant and a warrior who, Rashomon-style, purport to have eavesdropped on it from hiding places in a tree and beneath the floorboards of the house where the treaty was signed. These ordinary people knew that something big was happening, but they didn’t and couldn’t know what it meant. They could only describe what it was like to witness an epic event at close range from their own humble, oblique perspective on its periphery.

“It’s the fragment, not the day,” they sang. “It’s the pebble, not the stream. It’s the ripple, not the sea, that is happening.”

Standing here at the dawn of January 1, 2000, I think I know how they felt.