Election 1944: Gallup Polls

February 26
Election forecast

Interviewing Date 11/11-16/43
Survey #306-K
Question #2a

Regardless of what party you yourself favor, which party do you think will win the presidential election?

Democratic Republican No opinion
Democratic 65% 17% 18%
Republican 31% 49% 20%

February 27
Republican presidential candidates

Interviewing Date 2/18-23/44
Survey #312-K
Question #4a

Asked of Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey 45%
Willkie 21%
MacArthur 19%
Bricker 7%
Stassen 5%
Others 3%

February 29
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Iowa Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey 40%
Willkie 25%
MacArthur 19%
Stassen 13%
Bricker 2%
Others 1%

March 3
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Ohio Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Bricker 41%
Dewey 25%
MacArthur 18%
Willkie 11%
Stassen 3%
Eric Johnston 2%

March 6
Democratic vice-presidential candidates

Interviewing Date 2/18-23/44
Survey #312-K
Question #4a

Asked of Democrats: Whom would you like to see the Democratic Party nominee for Vice President this year?

Wallace 46%
Hull 21%
Farley 13%
Rayburn 12%
Byrnes 5%
Byrd 3%

By region

Wallace Hull Farley Rayburn Byrnes Byrd
East 47% 22% 14% 9% 5% 3%
Midwest 46% 20% 12% 14% 5% 3%
South 42% 20% 15% 14% 6% 3%
West 47% 21% 13% 11% 5% 3%

March 8
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Connecticut only

Dewey 50%
Willkie 26%
MacArthur 17%
Bricker 4%
Stassen 3%

West Virginia

Dewey 48%
MacArthur 23%
Willkie 15%
Bricker 13%
Stassen 1%

March 11
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Kansas Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey 58%
MacArthur 20%
Willkie 11%
Bricker 6%
Stassen 5%
1 Like

March 12
Republican presidential candidates

Interviewing Date 1/20-25/44
Survey #310-K
Question #6b

Asked of Republicans: If your choice of Republican candidates for President were limited to Wendell Willkie and Thomas Dewey, which would you prefer?

Dewey 64%
Willkie 27%
Undecided 9%

By region

Dewey Willkie Undecided
New England 50% 42% 8%
Mid-Atlantic 69% 25% 6%
East Central 74% 16% 10%
West Central 63% 27% 10%
South 47% 39% 14%
Mountain 63% 29% 8%
West 56% 36% 8%

Bricker supporters only

Dewey 77%
Willkie 11%
Undecided 12%

MacArthur supporters only

Dewey 60%
Willkie 18%
Undecided 22%

Stassen supporters only

Dewey 55%
Willkie 31%
Undecided 14%

Not really shocking that Minnesota would want its most recent governor to Republican nominee (Stassen). I kind of like that resigned from being governor to be in the Navy but I doubt he would have accepted nomination.

1 Like

March 17
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Illinois Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominated for President?

Dewey 43%
MacArthur 28%
Bricker 10%
Willkie 7%
Stassen 6%
Eric Johnston 5%
Warren 1%

March 18
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Maine Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominated for President?

Willkie 57%
Dewey 23%
MacArthur 14%
Bricker 3%
Stassen 3%

March 21
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Oklahoma Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominated for President?

Dewey 36%
MacArthur 27%
Willkie 22%
Bricker 10%
Eric Johnston 3%
Stassen 2%

March 24
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Kentucky Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominated for President?

Dewey 37%
Willkie 30%
MacArthur 25%
Bricker 7%
Warren 1%

March 27
Party best for peace and prosperity

Interviewing Date 2/18-23/44
Survey #312-K
Question #5

Which party do you think is more likely to bring the war to a successful end at the earliest time – the Democratic or the Republican?

Democratic 36%
Republican 22%
No difference 29%
Undecided 13%
Interviewing Date 2/18-23/44
Survey #312-K
Question #7

After the war, which party do you think will make the best peace arrangements?

Democratic 32%
Republican 29%
No difference 25%
Undecided 14%
Interviewing Date 2/18-23/44
Survey #312-K
Question #6

After the war, which party do you think will bring the greatest prosperity and the greatest number of jobs?

Republican 34%
Democratic 31%
No difference 22%
Undecided 13%

Union members only

Democratic 41%
Republican 24%
No difference 21%
Undecided 14%

March 29
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Indiana Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey 47%
Willkie 18%
MacArthur 16%
Bricker 13%
Eric Johnston 4%
Stassen 2%

April 1
Party strength

Special Survey

Asked in Texas: Which party would you like to see win the presidential election in November?

Democratic 74%
Republican 26%

April 7
Politics

Special Survey

Asked in Florida: Which party would you like to see win the presidential election this year?

Democratic 66%
Republican 34%

Asked of Florida Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Willkie 12%
Dewey 12%
MacArthur 5%
Bricker 3%
Stassen 2%

Asked of Florida Democrats: Whom would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate for President?

Roosevelt 53%
Byrnes 4%
Byrd 3%
Wallace 3%
McNutt 2%
Farley 1%

April 8
Politics

Special Survey

Asked in Georgia: Which party would you like to see win the presidential election this year?

Democratic 77%
Republican 23%

Asked of Georgia Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

MacArthur 9%
Dewey 7%
Willkie 5%
Bricker 1%
Stassen 1%

Asked of Georgia Democrats: Whom would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate for President?

Roosevelt 71%
Byrd 2%
Wallace 1%
Farley 1%
Byrnes 1%
McNutt 1%

April 9
Politics

Special Survey

Asked in the Deep South: Which party would you like to see win the presidential election this year?

Democratic Republican
Alabama 79% 21%
Florida 66% 34%
Georgia 77% 23%
Louisiana 80% 20%
Mississippi 81% 19%
South Carolina 88% 12%
Texas 74% 26%

Asked of Republicans in the Deep South: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey Willkie MacArthur Others
Alabama 9% 2% 6% 4%
Florida 12% 12% 5% 5%
Georgia 7% 5% 9% 2%
Louisiana 7% 6% 2% 5%
Mississippi 6% 3% 8% 2%
South Carolina 4% 2% 5% 1%
Texas 10% 5% 6% 5%

Asked of Democrats in the Deep South: Whom would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate for President?

Roosevelt Wallace Byrnes Others
Alabama 72% 3% 1% 3%
Florida 53% 3% 4% 6%
Georgia 71% 1% 1% 4%
Louisiana 69% 3% 1% 7%
Mississippi 62% 3% 3% 13%
South Carolina 60% 1% 15% 12%
Texas 65% 3% 1% 5%

April 12
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Michigan Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey 47%
Willkie 19%
MacArthur 16%
Bricker 8%
Stassen 7%
Others 3%