Election 1944: Gallup Polls

January 31
Republican presidential candidates

Interviewing Date 1/20-25/44
Survey #310-K
Question #6a

Asked of Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey 42%
Willkie 23%
MacArthur 18%
Bricker 8%
Stassen 6%
Others 3%

Be region

Dewey Willkie MacArthur Bricker Others
New England 38% 41% 14% 3% 4%
Mid-Atlantic 54% 21% 16% 4% 5%
East Central 35% 15% 17% 21% 12%
West Central 40% 23% 19% 3% 15%
South 30% 36% 24% 6% 4%
Mountain 37% 26% 21% 7% 9%
West 35% 27% 12% 4% 22%

February 2
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Missouri Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey 41%
MacArthur 27%
Willkie 24%
Stassen 3%
Bricker 3%
Others 2%

February 4
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Michigan Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey 47%
Willkie 19%
MacArthur 16%
Bricker 8%
Stassen 7%
Others 3%

February 5
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Minnesota Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Stassen 31%
Willkie 28%
Dewey 25%
MacArthur 12%
Bricker 3%
Warren 1%
1 Like

February 6
Party strength

Interviewing Date 1/20-25/44
Survey #310-K
Question #5

Which party would you like to see win the presidential election this November?

Labor union members only

Democratic 64%
Republican 36%

CIO members only

Democratic 66%
Republican 34%

February 16
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of New Jersey Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey 55%
Willkie 21%
MacArthur 16%
Stassen 4%
Bricker 3%
Others 1%

February 18
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Pennsylvania Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey 51%
Willkie 22%
MacArthur 18%
Stassen 4%
Bricker 3%
Warren 1%
Eric Johnston 1%

February 20
Party strength

Interviewing Date 2/3-8/44
Survey #311-K
Question #6

Which party do you want to see win the presidential election next fall – the Republican or Democratic?

Democratic 51%
Republican 49%

By region

Democratic Republican
New England 52% 48%
Mid-Atlantic 53% 47%
East Central 45% 55%
West Central 42% 58%
South 71% 29%
Mountain 48% 52%
Pacific 49% 51%

February 23
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of New York State Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey 57%
Willkie 20%
MacArthur 16%
Bricker 4%
Stassen 2%
Eric Johnston 1%

February 26
Election forecast

Interviewing Date 11/11-16/43
Survey #306-K
Question #2a

Regardless of what party you yourself favor, which party do you think will win the presidential election?

Democratic Republican No opinion
Democratic 65% 17% 18%
Republican 31% 49% 20%

February 27
Republican presidential candidates

Interviewing Date 2/18-23/44
Survey #312-K
Question #4a

Asked of Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey 45%
Willkie 21%
MacArthur 19%
Bricker 7%
Stassen 5%
Others 3%

February 29
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Iowa Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey 40%
Willkie 25%
MacArthur 19%
Stassen 13%
Bricker 2%
Others 1%

March 3
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Ohio Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Bricker 41%
Dewey 25%
MacArthur 18%
Willkie 11%
Stassen 3%
Eric Johnston 2%

March 6
Democratic vice-presidential candidates

Interviewing Date 2/18-23/44
Survey #312-K
Question #4a

Asked of Democrats: Whom would you like to see the Democratic Party nominee for Vice President this year?

Wallace 46%
Hull 21%
Farley 13%
Rayburn 12%
Byrnes 5%
Byrd 3%

By region

Wallace Hull Farley Rayburn Byrnes Byrd
East 47% 22% 14% 9% 5% 3%
Midwest 46% 20% 12% 14% 5% 3%
South 42% 20% 15% 14% 6% 3%
West 47% 21% 13% 11% 5% 3%

March 8
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Connecticut only

Dewey 50%
Willkie 26%
MacArthur 17%
Bricker 4%
Stassen 3%

West Virginia

Dewey 48%
MacArthur 23%
Willkie 15%
Bricker 13%
Stassen 1%

March 11
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Kansas Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey 58%
MacArthur 20%
Willkie 11%
Bricker 6%
Stassen 5%
1 Like

March 12
Republican presidential candidates

Interviewing Date 1/20-25/44
Survey #310-K
Question #6b

Asked of Republicans: If your choice of Republican candidates for President were limited to Wendell Willkie and Thomas Dewey, which would you prefer?

Dewey 64%
Willkie 27%
Undecided 9%

By region

Dewey Willkie Undecided
New England 50% 42% 8%
Mid-Atlantic 69% 25% 6%
East Central 74% 16% 10%
West Central 63% 27% 10%
South 47% 39% 14%
Mountain 63% 29% 8%
West 56% 36% 8%

Bricker supporters only

Dewey 77%
Willkie 11%
Undecided 12%

MacArthur supporters only

Dewey 60%
Willkie 18%
Undecided 22%

Stassen supporters only

Dewey 55%
Willkie 31%
Undecided 14%

Not really shocking that Minnesota would want its most recent governor to Republican nominee (Stassen). I kind of like that resigned from being governor to be in the Navy but I doubt he would have accepted nomination.

1 Like

March 17
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Illinois Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominated for President?

Dewey 43%
MacArthur 28%
Bricker 10%
Willkie 7%
Stassen 6%
Eric Johnston 5%
Warren 1%

March 18
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Maine Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominated for President?

Willkie 57%
Dewey 23%
MacArthur 14%
Bricker 3%
Stassen 3%