Election 1944: Gallup Polls

Anything is better than Frankie Part IV in my view. :smile:

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Who knows, maybe Dewey/MacArthur would have defeated Truman in 1948.

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I can’t see MacArthur stepping down from his active command role and I don’t think it would have been legal for him to run while still in uniform.

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If Dewey had won in 1944, I don’t think Truman would have been the Democratic nominee in 1948.

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Agreed, MacArthur was busy in the Philippines Campaign and there was no chance he would give that up to campaign for the vice presidency. I just thought it was an interesting (although extremely unrealistic) scenario

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December 24
Democratic presidential candidates

Interviewing Date 11/25 – 12/1/43
Survey #307-K
Question #6

Democrats were asked: Will you look over these possible candidates (on card) and tell me which one you would like to see as the next President of the United States?

Roosevelt 85%
Wallace 6%
Farley 3%
Byrd 2%
McNutt 1%
Marshall 1%
Byrnes 1%
Douglas 1%

By region

Roosevelt Wallace Farley Byrd Others
New England/Mid-Atlantic 88% 5% 3% 2% 2%
East Central 83% 7% 3% 1% 6%
West Central 82% 9% 3% 1% 5%
South 81% 4% 3% 5% 7%
West 89% 5% 2% 1% 3%
1 Like

December 26
Roosevelt administration

Interviewing Date 11/25 – 12/1/43
Survey #307-K
Question #2b

Farmers were asked: What do you dislike most about the way the Roosevelt administration is handling things?

Government extravagance 20%
Incompetent and dictatorial management of home affairs, especially with farm problems 15%
Coddling of labor 13%
Farm programs not effective 11%
Bad job of rationing 6%
Failure to keep prices down 2%
Miscellaneous 13%
No complaint 20%
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To bad my grandpa wasn’t still alive. I could ask him if he and his dad were happy with Roosevelt’s program for farmers.

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The article I’ve linked might be of good help.

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December 29
Two-term amendment

Interviewing Date 11/25 – 12/1/43
Survey #307-K
Question #3a

Would you favor adding a law to the Constitution that would prevent any President of the United States from being reelected in the future if he has already served two terms?

Yes 54%
No 46%
No opinion 7%
Interviewing Date 11/25 – 12/1/43
Survey #307-T
Question #3b

Would you favor changing the term of office of the President hereafter to one six-year term with no reelection?

Yes 34%
No 66%
No opinion 10%

1944

January 2
Bipartisan foreign policy

Interviewing Date 11/25-30/43
Survey #307-K
Question #12a

Asked of Republicans: Do you think that both the Republicans and the Democrats should take exactly the same stand for an active part in world affairs in their party platforms in 1944?

Yes 58%
No 21%
Undecided 21%
Interviewing Date 11/25-30/43
Survey #307-T
Question #12a

Asked of Republicans: Would you approve or disapprove if both the Republican and Democratic parties agreed to name Cordell Hull Secretary of State again after the next election?

Approve 52%
Disapprove 22%
Undecided 26%
1 Like

January 6
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Midwest only

Dewey 35%
Willkie 22%
MacArthur 13%
Bricker 13%
Taft 11%
Stassen 4%
Eric Johnston 2%
1 Like

January 12
Party strength

Interviewing Date 12/17-22/43
Survey #308-K
Question #9a

Have you ever voted in the election district where you now live?

Yes 75%
No 25%
Interviewing Date 12/17-22/43
Survey #308-K
Question #9b

Asked of those who responded in the affirmative: Which party would you like to see win the presidential election next November?

Democratic 49%
Republican 51%
Interviewing Date 12/17-22/43
Survey #308-K
Question #9c

Asked of those who responded in the negative: Which party would you like to see win the presidential election next November?

Democratic 61%
Republican 39%

January 14
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Maine, New Hampshire and Vermont only

Willkie 55%
Dewey 29%
MacArthur 10%
Bricker 4%
Stassen 2%

January 16
Party strength

Interviewing Date 1/6-11/44
Survey #309-K
Question #7

Which party would you like to see win the presidential election in November?

By sex

Republican Democratic
Men 49% 51%
Women 47% 53%
Interviewing Date 1/6-11/44
Survey #309-K
Question #8a

Asked of Democrats: Whom would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate for President?

By sex

Men Women
Roosevelt 82% 88%
Wallace 7% 4%
Farley 3% 2%
Byrd 2% 2%
Marshall 2% 1%
Byrnes 2% 1%
McNutt 2% 1%
Douglas <1% 1%
Interviewing Date 1/6-11/44
Survey #309-K
Question #8b

Asked of Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

By sex

Men Women
Dewey 38% 37%
Willkie 27% 23%
MacArthur 13% 19%
Bricker 11% 9%
Stassen 7% 7%
Eric Johnston 2% 1%
Warren 1% 2%
Saltonstall 1% 2%

The Pittsburgh Press (January 19, 1944)

americavotes1944

Poll: Dewey holds slight lead in 2 states

Willkie runs close second in California and Nebraska tests
By George Gallup, Director, American Institute of Public Opinion

Surveys of Republican sentiment in Nebraska and California show Governor Thomas E. Dewey holding a slight lead over Wendell Willkie in popularity as a 1944 presidential candidate.

The political tides in Nebraska are important because it is one of the states which has open presidential primaries. The situation in California holds equal interest for political leaders because of talk of Governor Earl Warren as a possible vice-presidential candidate.

The California Governor has announced his intention of entering his state’s primaries as a presidential nominee.

In gathering the views of Republican voters in California and Nebraska, each voter was handed a list of candidates and asked to name his preferred choice.

Based on those who named a Republican, the results for Nebraska are given below. The figures are not a poll of Republican leader, but the rank and file of the whole party.

The survey procedure used gives proper representation to all shades of opinion within the Republican Party – the independent Republican, as well as the more rock-ribbed Republican.

NEBRASKA

Dewey 35%
Willkie 29%
MacArthur 16%
Stassen 10%
Bricker 9%
Warren 1%
Johnston <1%

The California survey shows the following results:

Dewey 32%
Willkie 30%
Warren 13%
MacArthur 13%
Stassen 6%
Bricker 4%
Johnston 2%

January 26
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Wisconsin Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey 40%
Willkie 20%
MacArthur 15%
Stassen 11%
Bricker 8%
Eric Johnston 6%

January 31
Republican presidential candidates

Interviewing Date 1/20-25/44
Survey #310-K
Question #6a

Asked of Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey 42%
Willkie 23%
MacArthur 18%
Bricker 8%
Stassen 6%
Others 3%

Be region

Dewey Willkie MacArthur Bricker Others
New England 38% 41% 14% 3% 4%
Mid-Atlantic 54% 21% 16% 4% 5%
East Central 35% 15% 17% 21% 12%
West Central 40% 23% 19% 3% 15%
South 30% 36% 24% 6% 4%
Mountain 37% 26% 21% 7% 9%
West 35% 27% 12% 4% 22%

February 2
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Missouri Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey 41%
MacArthur 27%
Willkie 24%
Stassen 3%
Bricker 3%
Others 2%

February 4
Republican presidential candidates

Special Survey

Asked of Michigan Republicans: Whom would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President?

Dewey 47%
Willkie 19%
MacArthur 16%
Bricker 8%
Stassen 7%
Others 3%